13 Betting Trends for 13 Week 5 NFL Games

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Author

Michael Mohorovich
October 04, 2024

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13 games. 13 trends. The partners are here in force. Let’s do it!

New York Jets vs Minnesota Vikings (9:30 AM Sunday, London)

@KyleJustBets joined us on our YouTube channel this week, and you can find his play here:

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots (1 PM Sunday)

Jacoby Brissett Under 159.5 Passing Yards

The Miami Dolphins can’t score since Tua went down, but they’re also not allowing a lot of points. They have one of the best pass defenses in the NFL through the first 4 weeks, holding opposing passing offenses to 162 yards per game. Jacoby Brissett has only gone over this line once this season, and that was only by 9 yards.

Brissett’s 2024

Two of four starting QBs to face the Dolphins have stayed under this line. The two that went over were Geno Smith (the #1 passer in the NFL right now by yards) and Trevor Lawrence, who only went over by 3 yards.

QB’s vs the Dolphins

Carolina Panthers vs Chicago Bears (1 PM Sunday)

DeAndre Swift Over 51.5 Rushing Yards

After a really slow start to his tenure as a Chicago Bear, DeAndre Swift had his breakout last week. 93 rushing yards on 16 attempts with his first touchdown. His matchup this week is too juicy to ignore, with the Panthers ranking in the bottom 5 of rushing yards allowed per game, rushing attempts per game, and rushing touchdowns allowed.

The Panthers’ rush defense is missing in action

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Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars (1 PM Sunday)

Brian Thomas Jr. Over 53.5 Receiving Yards

There hasn’t been a lot to be happy about if you’re a Jaguars fan, except maybe the play of Brian Thomas Jr.

Thomas has had two big games in 2024

Thomas has gone over this line in 2 of his 4 NFL games, and in his two misses, he needed just 6 and 7 more yards. The Colts have given up 235 passing yards per game (26th in the NFL) and a few wide receivers have raked against them this season so far.

Wide receivers have found success against the Colts secondary

Buffalo Bills vs Houston Texans (1 PM Sunday)

CJ Stroud Under 35.5 Longest Completion

Our partner Joel Gedeon is fading CJ Stroud this week, read his write-up below ⬇️

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals (1 PM Sunday)

You’ll find our Ravens/Bengals play from @KyleJustBets on our YouTube channel this week:

Jayden Daniels Over 9.5 Rushing Attempts

Joel had another great write-up for the Browns and Commanders game, check it out below ⬇️

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos (4:05 PM Sunday)

Jakobi Meyers Under 45.5 Receiving Yards

No Davante Adams, so Jakobi Meyers is WR1 for the Raiders this week, and MailManLocks is fading him because he’s taking a one-way trip to Surtain Island! Check it out below ⬇️

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers (4:05 PM Sunday)

Jordan Mason Over 83.3 Rushing Yards

David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs just combined for 193 rushing yards against the Cardinals last week, and Jordan Mason has taken the reins as the number-one rusher without CMC in the lineup. When you have a team allowing 146 rushing yards per game (26th in the NFL), and a running back who’s averaging 111 yards per game this season (Mason), going head-to-head, the over has to be worth a look.

Mason has been dynamite for the 49ers so far

New York Giants vs Seattle Seahawks (4:25 PM Sunday)

DK Metcalf Over 61.5 Receiving Yards

DK Metcalf has been a machine in the early going for Seattle, and ProphetProps likes his matchup once again this week, home to the Giants. Check out his write-up below with a bonus Cardinals/49ers pick in the quote tweet 👀 ⬇️

Josh Jacobs Over 62.5 Rushing Yards

PropTheMic is an OG Props.Cash partner and he makes his newsletter debut leaning on Josh Jacobs to come through against in week 5. Check out his video on why below ⬇️

Closing out this week’s YouTube video is Kyle’s Sunday Night Football. Here’s a hint: a number one receiver not named CeeDee Lamb 👀 ⬇️

Travis Kelce Over 55.5 Receiving Yards

Rashee Rice is out, Travis Kelce finally got back on track last week, the Chiefs are at home and in primetime, and we need Kelce to catch and run for 56 yards? We know he’s been under this line in 3 of the 4 games this year, but he had 89 yards on 7 catches last week with 9 targets, and he’s gone over this in 3 of his last 5 games at home on primetime.

Kelce’s last 5 games at home on primetime

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Thursday Recap

2-3 on Tuesday, 203/394 since we started tracking the newsletter on April 16th. 51% hit rate.

MLB Recap

Jose Iglesias Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs ❌ He went 0/4, and lost a 20+ game hit streak.

Jackson Chourio Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs ❌ Chourio had one hit.

NFL Recap

Mike Evans Over 60.5 Receiving Yards ✅ Evans had 62 receiving yards.

Mike Evans Over 4.5 Receptions ✅ Evans caught 5 passes.

Mike Hughes Over 4.5 Tackles + Assists ❌ He had 2.