A New Look for Props.Cash

Plus: player prop research as the Nuggets looking to stay alive, MLB head-to-head matchups

Author

Michael Mohorovich
May 15, 2025

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OKC got the job done in game 5, beating Denver and moving one win away from meeting Minnesota in the Western Conference Finals. But there’s this MVP on the other side, Nikola Jokic, who hopes to stall those plans and send the series back to OKC for a game seven. He still has us thinking of this shot from Tuesday night…

In elimination games in his career, Jokic has averaged 26/12/6 (14 games), but let’s put a bigger focus on the last 5 games dating back to 2021.

  • June 13th, 2021 (bubble playoffs): 28 minutes, 22/11/4. The Nuggets lost to Phoenix 125-118.

  • April 24th, 2022: 38 minutes, 37/8/6. The Nuggets beat Golden State 126-121.

  • April 27th, 2022: 32 minutes, 30/19/8. The Nuggets lost to Golden State 102-98.

  • May 19th, 2024: 34 minutes, 34/19/7. The Nuggets lost to Minnesota 98-90.

  • May 3rd, 2025: 32 minutes, 16/10/8, The Nuggets beat the Clippers 120-101.

In those last 5 games, he’s averaged 27.8/13.4/6.6.

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Jokic, 41.5 Points + Rebounds

If Jokic matches his recent elimination game averages — 27.8 points and 13.4 rebounds — he lands right near the line. But instead of focusing on five years of history, let’s zero in on what he’s done in this series.

Jokic’s points and rebounds in the series

While Jokic has gone under this line in 3 of 5 games, he’s still averaging 44.8 points + rebounds in the series — boosted by outings of 64 and 59 P+R.

His lowest output (25 P+R) came in a game where he had just 13 rebound chances — well below his usual. In the other four games, he’s averaged 29 rebound chances.

That same game? Only 16 field goal attempts, compared to 25.3 FGA across the other four.

So, what can we expect if Jokic plays to his usual volume? Here’s what his points + rebound results look like this season with 25+ rebound chances and 23+ field goal attempt, two less than the averages he had in those 4 games.

Jokic this season with 23 or more field goal attempts and 25 or more rebound chances

If you exclude that one game where Jokic was unusually uninvolved, and look at his averages with similar field goal attempts and rebound chances (even slightly lowered by two on each value), he's putting up 53.1 points + rebounds. And with this being an elimination game? Might be worth a look.

MLB Head-to-Head Data Sheet

Batter vs pitcher data for today, May 15th.

  • Albies: .357 vs Williams

  • Varsho: 10 HRR in last 2.

  • Garcia: 15 HRR in last 5.

  • Semien: .623 average vs Brown.

Get all the details below!

Today’s MLB Head-to-Head data sheet

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See you Tuesday!