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All 30 teams were on the court last night in the NBA ahead of the NBA All-Star break, which the league enters tonight after the 5-game slate comes to a close. With that, this newsletter is going to focus on one player from each game that has good data in back-to-backs this season, and other indicators in their data that point to their strong play in back-to-backs continuing.

The Lucky 5

In our research, we found 5 players and 5 props that have solid data in back-to-backs, and those 5 are…

• Steph Curry, Rebounds

• Domontas Sabonis, Points+Rebounds+Assits

• Nikola Jovic, Points

• Isaiah Hartenstein, Rebounds+Assists

• Norman Powell, Threes

We broke each trend down into 4 segments:

• Back-to-back data

• Head-to-head data

• Positional data

• Recent data

Let’s start with Steph!

Steph Curry, 3.5 Rebounds

Steph’s rebound line tonight is 3.5, and in all three back-to-backs this season, Steph has gone over this line is 7, 4, and 7 boards.

He’s also been over this number in 7 of his last 10 games against the Rockets.

Point guards are averaging 6.08 rebounds per game against the Rockets this season, with 47% of point guards going over their line versus Houston in the last 10 games, 45% going over in their last 20 games and 42% going over this season.

Lately, Steph has been really strong on the glass. He’s been over in 4 straight games, and has 22 boards in that stretch, with 15 boards since Jimmy Butler joined Golden State three games ago.

He’s been over this 3.5 line in 62% of his games, averaging 4.5 rebounds this season.

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Domontas Sabonis, 39.5 Points+Rebounds+Assits

Sabonis’s PRA line tonight is 39.5, a line he’s gone over in 6 of 9 back-to-backs this season, averaging 41.7 PRA.

The head-to-head data has positives and negatives. He’s been under in 9 of his last 14 against New Orleans, but over in three of his last 4. He went under this line last night, but consider this: he had just 5 PRA in the second quarter, and if he can avoid a quarter like that, he has a good shot of making it over in 4 of his last 5 versus the Pels.

Centers are averaging 46 PRA against New Orleans this season, 2nd most in the NBA. Players at the 5 are going over their PRA line in 46% of their last 10 games, but a whopping 59% of their last 20 games and at a 61% clip this season.

Domas has been under this line in 4 of his last 5 games and 8 of his last 10. But he’s still gone over in 53% of his starts this season, averaging 40.9.

Lastly, Sabonis has averaged 41.3 PRA this season, going over this number in 52% of his games away from Sacramento.

Nikola Jovic, 11.5 Points

If you look at Jovic’s back-to-back data overall this season, it’s meh. He’s been over this number in 3 of 6 games, averaging 12.7. BUT, in back-to-backs without Jimmy Butler, it’s a different story.

His average jumps to 16.3 in back-to-backs without Jimmy, going over this number in 3 of 4 games, with 20 or more in two of those games.

His head-to-head data shouldn’t carry much weight here - he’s been over this number in 0 of 3 games, averaging 3.3 points, but averaging just 15.1 minutes, with just 5 and a half minutes against them earlier this season.

Power forwards are averaging 23.47 points against Dallas this season, with 44% going over their points line against the Mavs over their last 10 games, and 50% going over their line this season.

Jovic is averaging 11 points per game this season, and 12.7 without Jimmy on the court. He’s been over this line in 5 of his last 10 games, averaging 13.7 points.

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Isaiah Hartenstein, 13.5 Rebounds+Assists

Hartenstein has been a monster in back-to-backs this season against this line, averaging 18.5 rebounds and assists and going over in all 4 games with zero rest.

His career head-to-head data isn’t very relevant, considering most of it is from his time with the Knicks, but he did go over this number earlier this season against Minnesota, with 14 R&A.

This season, Minnesota is giving up 18.9 rebounds and assists per game to centers, with a whopping 64% going over their line vs Minny in their last 10 games.

Hartenstein has destroyed this line this season, going over in 82% of his games and averaging 15.9 R&A. Although he has been under in 3 of his last 5 games.

Norman Powell, 2.5 Threes

Powell has been over this threes line in all but one game this season with zero rest, averaging 3.3 threes.

This season against Utah, Powell has 11 threes in three games, going over this number in 2 of three games. The Jazz allow 3.56 threes per game to shooting guards, 7th most in the NBA, with 55% of all shooting guards going over their number against the Jazz this season.

Two facts about Powell’s season; he’s been over in 70% of his games this season, averaging 3.3 threes. And although he’s been under this line in back-to-back games coming into this one, and hasn’t gone under this line in three straight all season.

The Jazz also give up the 2nd most threes in the league per game.

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See you Tuesday!