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It's a beautiful time of year to bet on player props
NBA season has begun, and we’re heading into the heart of our sports calendar now
It’s good to be back to our regularly scheduled programming around here! We hope you all managed okay last week in our brief absence. In that time, the NBA got going, and we’re seeing sign ups flood in for the tool that put us on the map. The resources here on our NBA dashboard are rich and we’re fired up for the return to the hardwood.
Haven’t tried props.cash yet? Use code “NEWSLETTER” for 25% off your first month! Sign up here.
Now is the time to sign up, we still have half of the NFL season left, NBA and NHL are just getting started, and NCAAF has a few months left as well.
Speaking of NBA, let’s explore one of the many ways you can put this tool to use.
One of our favorite NBA features: How positions fare against teams
A slight scroll down when you click on any player’s chart brings you to this table. You can filter by any of the five positions you’d like to study, and the above is available for every single NBA prop.
We know some users that use this table as a launching-off point for their prop research that night. It can take some time to click through each team and each position, but it’s so damn rewarding when you finally find a trend worth investigating, such as the above table that shows how SFs have fared with their three against the Utah Jazz.
One could use that to start exploring Franz Wagner in more depth, the Magic’s starting small forward. Wagner has a 2.5 threes line tonight, and in his four games, he’s made 3, 3, 2 and 2. The makes are only one thing, look above at his volume from deep: it’s very much there.
Knowing that 7+ three-point attempts might be coming is certainly nice to see against a vulnerable opponent. And oh, look how Wagner has done against the Jazz in two meetings last season.
At +144 to go over 2.5 tonight, we’re certainly intrigued, we’ll say that.
Using NFL receptions lines to help us find market value
Player prop markets are always communicating to us, and when you can clearly see how sportsbooks project volume props, you can use that to your advantage. We dug into a similar idea in MLB by looking at outs lines for pitchers and how their other props were impacted when meeting a certain innings pitched threshold.
A similar strategy can be deployed in the NFL market, specifically when looking at receptions props.
Receptions and pass attempts and rush attempts are the most absolute bets you can make on a player’s role that night. It has nothing to do with yardage accumulated or finding the end zone, just simply how often they’re being utilized in the offense.
Take Pittsburgh’s Diontae Johnson as an example, his 5.5 receptions line is the highest of the night tonight. You certainly could bet his over, it’s an inviting matchup, but it’s at least worth seeing how Johnson performs when he does see this type of volume, an ability made easy on props.cash.
If you scroll down to some of Johnson’s supporting statistics, you’ll see a chart for his receptions with a slider underneath it. If you move his minimum receptions to say, five, look at the impact that has on his receiving yards.
Johnson has averaged 81.6 yards per game in the past five games in which he’s caught 5+ balls, which makes his 57.5 line tonight all-the-more interesting.
These sliders are available for all sorts of stats, like snaps and targets. Receptions gives you the chance to apply what sportsbooks are telling you they think happens, and see the relationship that has to other markets.
Consider attacking some receiving or rushing props this weekend in the NFL by looking at how much volume is projected for each player, you’re sure to unearth some correlated trends that might push a play over the edge for you!
NHL Trends for Tonight
Quinn Hughes Shots on Goal Quinn Hughes is averaging 3.7 shots on goal on 8.3 attempts per game. He will get a matchup against an SJ team allowing the most shots per game in the league at 38.22. | Artemi Panarin Points Artemi Panarin has a point in every contest this season, averaging 1.7 per game. Last season in four games against Carolina, Panarin piled up eight total points. Can he keep it rolling tonight? The Hurricanes have allowed the fourth-most goals per game this season thanks to the eighth-worst penalty kill rate. |
TNF Trends for Tonight
Tyjae Spears Rushing Yards Tyjae Spears has recorded 21 or more yards rushing in five of seven games. So far this season, Spears is logging 28.3 RushYards/G while getting just under five RushAttempts/G, showing some nice explosiveness. The Steelers defense is allowing the 5th most RushYards/G, can Spears keep it rolling tonight? | Nick Folk Kicking Points Nick Folk has hit his “Kicking Points” prop in five of seven games. Across this span, Folk is averaging just under nine KickingPoints/G. Last season, he played PIT once, but was only able to come away with five KickingPoints. Will Folk have better luck in this one? |
NBA Trends for Tonight
Tyrese Maxey Points Tyrese Maxey is over his “Points” prop in three straight games – Across this span, Maxey is averaging 30.3 Points/G on 18.7 FGA/G. He faced off vs TOR four times last season, and was able to record 25+ Points in three of four. | Cade Cunningham Turnovers Avenging 5.4 Turnovers/G to start the ‘23-34 season, Cade Cunningham has hit his “Turnovers” prop in four of his first five games. He now gets NOP who forced 12th fewest Turnovers/G last season – Will the Turnover streak be extend another game tonight? |