Timberwolves Hope to Avoid Pacers’ Fate

The Indiana Pacers are in Cancun after their sweep at the hands of the Boston Celtics, and the Minnesota Timberwolves can join them if they don’t win tonight in Dallas. We have four betting trends for Tuesday’s big game, plus MLB, NHL, and WNBA trends below. But first…

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NBA Trends

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks

Anthony Edwards hasn’t been able to score in this series at the same rate as the last two, but he’s been effective on the boards and moving the ball.

Anthony Edwards Over 12.5 Rebounds+Assists

He’s been over this rebounds and assists line in 2 of the first 3 games, and in the only game he missed this line, he only missed by one rebound or assist. It’s a big game, the do-or-die narrative makes this even more appealing.

Naz Reid Over 17.5 Points+Rebounds+Assists

Naz Reid has given the Timberwolves solid minutes off the bench in these playoffs, going over this line in 4 of his last 5 games.

In the last two games, Reid has played 31 & 29 minutes, and in games this season where he’s played 25 or more minutes, Reid has gone over this line 91% of the time.

PJ Washington Over 1.5 3PTM

The volume for Washington will be there:

Can he convert? He’s been over this line in 9 of his last 10 games and he’s played 35 or more minutes in every game of this series.

Josh Green Over 0.5 3PTM

We’re riding the consistent hand here. Green has at least one three in 10 straight games. It’s as simple as that.

WNBA Trends

Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun

Natasha Cloud has been dynamite since signing with Phoenix as a free agent, and tonight she gets to prove her worth against the best team in the WNBA thus far.

Natasha Cloud Over 23.5 Points+Rebounds+Assists

Cloud has gone over this line in 4 of her 5 games as a member of the Mercury, so we’re highlighting the hot hand here.

Marina Mabery and Courtney WIlliams, two recent guards who have played the Sun, have gone over this line.

Los Angeles Sparks vs Indiana Fever

Caitlin Clark Under 3.5 3PTM

Clark has not been able to find her stride from deep in the WNBA, and although she’s bound to find it eventually, we’re fading her here tonight. She’s been under this line in 4 straight games.

NHL Trends

New York Rangers vs Florida Panthers

Carter Verhaeghe Over 0.5 Points

The Panthers are down 2-1 in the Eastern Conference Finals, but you can’t blame Carter Verhaeghe. Vergaeghe has at least a point in every game of this series, plus two multi-point games. We’re riding the hot hand here.

Dallas Stars vs Edmonton Oilers (Wednesday)

Zach Hyman Over 3.5 Shots on Goal

Zach Hyman had 7 shots on goal in game three, and he’s had 5/7/8 shot attempts in the first three games of this series. Those attempts have led to Hyman going over this in 2 of 3 games this series.

MLB Trends

Matt Waldron Over 4.5 Strikeouts

Waldron has been dealing lately, with 23 strikeouts over his last three starts.

And he gets a juicy matchup. The Marlins first 7 batters have a strikeout rate above 21.5% against right-handed pitchers.

Tarik Skubel Over 7.5 Strikeouts

Full transparency, Skubal’s hit rate for this isn’t good.

But this is why we like it:

Skubal is among the highest percentiles for pitchers in strikeouts per inning, and he gets a juicy matchup against the Pirates who strike out the 3rd most amongst MLB teams versus left-handed pitchers.

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Thursday Recap

NBA

Jrue Holiday Over 24.5 Points+Rebounds+Assists ✅ Holiday got here with just points and assists, finishing with a 15/3/10 line.

Tyrese Haliburton Over 19.5 Points ❌ Haliburton played just 28 minutes, got hurt in this game and finished with just 10 points.

Karl-Anthony Towns Under 31.5 Points+Rebounds+Assists  ✅ KAT is having a brutal series, he finished with a 15/7/3 line for the easy under.

Daniel Gafford Over 13.5 Points+Rebounds+Assists ✅ Gafford got this with points alone and finished with 16. His line: 16/5/0.

NHL

Joe Pavelski Over 1.5 Shots ✅ Two for Pavelski.

Zach Hyamn Over 0.5 Goals ✅ Hyman comes through!

Vincent Trochek and Mika Zibanejad Over 0.5 Points ✅❌ Trochek comes through with a goal and an assist, would’ve been nice for him to share…Zibanejad with the goose egg.

MLB

Ryan Mouncastle Over 1.5 Totals Bases ✅ Mountcastle had 4 hits. Need I say more?

6/8 on Tuesday. Since we started tracking the newsletter on April 16th, our suggested trends are 56/102 (54%).