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Leagues, Divisions, Wild Cards

All three American League divisions - the East, Central, and West - are still being fought for. In the National League, the Dodgers’ pursuit of another division title is all that’s left to be settled in terms of divisions (The Brewers and Phillies are still fighting for the NL crown).

The Mets and Reds are tied at 80-76. Cincinnati has the tiebreaker, so the Mets need some help to get in, and they need to not Met this up. The AL Wild Card is still a massive party - the Jays are the only team that’s clinched, and 6 teams are vying for 5 spots.

All in all, there are plenty of games tonight with playoff implications, but we’re going to focus on three behemoths:

• Tigers at Guardians

• Red Sox at Blue Jays

• Mets at Cubs

On top of that analysis, you can find our Batte vs Pitcher sheet below.

Let’s get into it!

DET at CLE: Tarik Skubal, Strikeouts

You have to like Skubal in this spot, his head to head nunbers are off the charts. This will be his fourth start against the Guardians this season, and he has never failed to throw nine strikeouts against Cleveland this year.

Cleveland has the 9th highest strikeout rate against left handed pitchers in their last 15 games, and there are 6 players in this Guardians lineup with a K rate above 27% against Skubal in their careers.

Huge implications in this game for both teams: the Tigers have slipped recently, they’re 1-9 in their last 10 games. Cleveland is now just 1 game back of them for the division, so this game is huge!

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BOS at TOR: Kevin Gausman, Earned Runs

Gausman is pitching his best when the Jays need it most, giving up only 3 total earned runs in his last 4 starts, and 4 or fewer hits in 3 of his last 4 starts.

Six players in the project Red Sox lineup have a strikeout rate of 27% or higher versus Gausman, and only two have an average above .300.

This is a massive game for Toronto and Boston: the Jays are two games up on the Yankees for the AL East lead, and their magic number is now 4 to win the division. The Red Sox are a game up on the Guardians and Astros for the second wild card spot.

NYM at CHI: Francisco Lindor, HRR

The Mets are Met-ing. They lost two in a row to the lowly Nationals, and now they sit outside of a playoff spot because they don’t have the tiebreaker on Cincinnati. They need their best player to be their best player, and if honeslty, he’s been pretty good. Lindor has 15 HRR in his last 4 games, and 3 or more HRR in 3 of his last 4 games.

His numbers against Cubs starter Cade Horton are extremely limited, with a single in two plate appearances versus the righty, but his numbers against the Cubs as a whole this season, are pretty good.

But he is seeing righties better than lefties, with a .277 average compared to .236.

Batter vs Pitcher Matchups, Sep. 23rd

🔥 Batter vs Pitcher Matchups - Sept 23rd 🔥

Judge vs Smith: 12 hits in L10 games, 4+ HRR in 6 of them 🔥
Clement vs Giolito: .400 AVG in 5 PA’s 💥 
Duran vs Gausman: .364 AVG in 22 PA’s vs Gausman 📊
Betts vs Pfaadt: .450 AVG in 22 PA’s vs Pfaadt 💣

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See you Thursday!