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Dog Days of Betting Trends
77 Days Until the NFL Season
Quick note: Our MLB Trends today are for 1:10 and 2:10 first-pitch games. You can find them below.
77 days from today, the Ravens will play the Chiefs at Arrowhead to kick off the 2024 season. Between now and then, we’ll see the conclusion of the Stanley Cup Final, the WNBA season will play out throughout summer and Major League Baseball will go through the dog days of July and August. Not to mention we’ll crown a champion at Euro 2024 in Germany. Betting trends for tonight, tomorrow and this weekend can be found below, but first…
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Stanley Cup Finals Trends
Can the Oilers do it again? They’ve fought off elimination twice and can force a game 7 with a win on home ice tonight. We’re going big on game 6, with 5 (!!!!!!) trends.
Stuart Skinner Over 26.5 Saves
Against this trend, Stuart Skinner has trended under for most of the playoffs.
But his stats in games 4-7, with the Oilers season on the line, are impressive.
Stuart Skinner When Facing Elimination in 2024 #StanleyCup Playoffs:
3-0
1.33 GAA
.938 SV%#LetsGoOilers
— Sportsnet Stats (@SNstats)
7:05 PM • Jun 18, 2024
We’re banking on him doing it again tonight.
Connor McDavid Over 1.5 Points
McDavid had three points in the first three games of this series, and the Oilers lost all three. The two games since? 3 goals and 8 points. Even if the Oilers lose, we have to highlight the hot hand in McDavid here.
Leon Draisaitl Over 2.5 Shots On Goal
On the road, this has been a 50/50 trend for Draisaitl over his last 10 games. But on home ice, Draisaitl has gone over this line in 8 of his last 10 games, including both home games of this series.
Draisaitl Shots on Goal at Home | Draisaitl Shots on Goal on the Road |
Evan Rodrigues Over 1.5 Shots On Goal
Evan Rodrigues has gotten shots on goal in this series, going over this line in 4 of the last 5 games. And his shot attempts make this even more encouraging.
Aaron Ekblad Over 1.5 Blocked Shots
This one is simple: Ekblad is 5 for 5 on this trend in this series, and in 8 of his last 10 games overall (or 8 straight!)
MLB Trends
Today's basis for our MLB trends was simple: historical batter vs pitcher matchups.
Steven Kwan Over 1.5 Total Bases (1 PM)
Kwan has outstanding numbers against Seattle Mariners starter Luis Castillo.
Stevan Kwan's History Against Luis Castillo
He went 2 for 5 against the Mariners on April 2nd, and both those hits came off of Castillo. They were both singles within the first 5 innings. Kwan’s recent play also makes this encouraging, he’s one of the hottest bats in baseball right now.
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 Hits (2:10 PM)
Alex Bregman has faced Chicago White Sox starter Chirs Flexen 18 times in his career, and he has 4 singles and 1 double, translating to a .333 batting average.
Alex Bregman's History Against Chris Flexen
And Bregman has hits in 10 straight road games, and 17 of his last 20 road games.
WNBA Trends
We go to Friday night for our WNBA trend, and the best player in the league.
A’ja Wilson Over 34.5 Points+Rebounds+Assists
Wilson is the reigning playoff MVP in the WNBA, and the 27-year-old has done so well against this P+R+A line this season.
Wilson has been over this line in 11 of 13 games this season, and the two games she went under she finished with 33.
Tuesday Recap
2-4 on Tuesday, 79/159 since we started tracking the newsletter on April 16th. 50%.
NHL Recap
Vladimir Tarasenko Over 1.5 Shots on Goal ✅ Tarasenko easily goes over, and finished with 4 shots on goal.
Aaron Ekblad Over 1.5 Blocked Shots ✅ Small sweat, but Ekblad finished with two.
Stuart Skinner Under 26.5 Saves ❌ The barrage at the end of the game cooked this, Skinner finished with 29.
MLB Trends
Steven Kwan Over 1.5 Total Bases ❌ Kwan went 1-5 with a single
Royce Lewis Over 1.5 Total Bases ❌ Lewis went 0-5. The hottest bat in baseball goes cold just in time for us.
WNBA Trends
Caitlin Clark over 2.5 3PTM ❌ Clark finished 2-6 from three