Edge & Projections In The NBA Tonight

A rare Wednesday newsletter to put EDGE up to the test. 10 games, 10 trends...

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EDGE in the NBA!

We’re rolling out the newsletter on Wednesday this week instead of Thursday because of the NBA schedule. There are only 4 games tomorrow ahead of the NBA Cup kicking off on Friday, but there are 10 NBA games tonight, which is what we need.

In yesterday’s newsletter, we put EDGE to the test in the NHL. There were 16 games, and we chose the top EDGE trend for every game from Props.Cash (except for a few games where we chose the second-highest EDGE trend). So, how did they do?

  • Evgeni Malkin, 1.5 SOG ✅ He finished with 3 shots on goal

  • Dustin Wolf, 24.5 Saves ✅ Wolf finished with 33 saves

  • Tomas Hertl, 1.5 SOG ✅ Hertl finished with 2 shots on goal

  • Alex Lyon, 25.5 Saves ✅ Lyon finished with 35 saves

  • Daniil Tarasov, 21.5 Saves ❌ He finished with 15; he only faced 17 shots

  • Ilya Sorokin, 23.5 Saves ❌ He finished with 17; he only faced

  • Juuse Saros, 23.5 Saves ✅ He finished with 25 saves

  • Josh Morrissey, 1.5 SOG ✅ He finished with 2 shots on goal

  • Dylan Larkin, 2.5 SOG ✅ He finished with 3 shots on goal

  • Jake Oettinger, 23.5 Saves ✅ He finished with 24 shots on goal

  • Linus Ullmark, 21.5 Saves ❌ He finished with 19 saves while facing 25 shots, but allowed 6 goals 🤢

  • Nathan MacKinnon, 3.5 SOG ✅ He finished with 5 shots on goal

  • Logan Cooley, 1.5 SOG ❌ He finished with 1, but did score on it

  • Elias Pettersson, 1.5 SOG ❌ He finished with 1 shot on goal

  • Nick Suzuki, 2.5 SOG ✅ He finished with 3 shots on goal

  • Macklin Celebrini, 2.5 SOG ✅ He finished with 4 shots on goal

Overall, EDGE went 11-5! Let’s see how EDGE performs tonight in the NBA.

Steven Adams points and rebounds prop has the highest Edge on the Props.Cash app for this game.

Centers have been destroying the Raptors, with three of the five centers that the Raptors have played going over this number, and the other two finishing with 9 & 11.

Centers against the Raptors this season

Adams is off to a hot start, too. He’s averaging 16.7 points and rebounds, clearing this line in all three games.

Steven Adams’ points and rebounds data this season

The minutes have been drastically different (36, 25, 16), but last season, when he played at between 16 and 30 minutes, he averaged 14.2 points and rebounds.

CLE @ BOS - Lonzo Ball, 6.5 Points

Lonzo Ball’s points prop has the highest Edge on the Props.Cash app for this game.

In his first two games as a Cav, he was awful. He played more than 22 minutes or more in both and managed less than 4 points in both. But in game three, he broke out of his slump with 11 points.

Lonzo Ball’s points data this season

Four point guards have played the Celtics this season, and three of them had 7 or more points: Tyrese Maxey (40), Miles McBride (10), Cade Cunningham (25) & Jeremiah Fears (2). Fears, the only one that went under, is a rookie.

ORL @ DET - Jalen Duren, 14.5 Pts + Ast

Jalen Duren’s points and assists prop is not the highest Edge on the Props.Cash app for this game, it’s the third highest. The other two were fantasy score props, so we’ll highlight Duren instead.

Duren is averaging 14.3 points and assists per game this season, clearing this line in 50% of his 4 starts so far.

O points and assists data this season

The matchup looks good for Duren, too. The 5 starting centers that have played Orlando this season have averaged 18.5 points and assists, with 3 of the 4 going over this number (17, 20, 17, 8).

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ATL @ BKN - Onyeka Okongwu, 22.5 Pts + Reb + Ast

Onyeka Okongwu’s points, rebounds, and assists prop is not the highest Edge on the Props.Cash app for this game, it’s the second highest. The other was a fantasy score prop, so we’ll highlight Okongwu instead.

Centers are destroying the Nets this season. 3 of 6 centers have gone over this number, but two of the centers that went under both had 22, and both played for Charlotte. In that game, they split the center minutes at 26 & 21. With Okongwu averaging 31.7 minutes, he’s in a good spot tonight.

Okongwu’s

And it helps that Okongwu is averaging 26.5 points, rebounds, and assists this season.

SAC @ CHI - Dennis Schroder, 19.5 Pts + Reb + Ast

Dennis Schroder’s points, rebounds, and assists prop is not the highest Edge on the Props.Cash app for this game, it’s the second highest. The other was a fantasy score prop, so we’ll highlight Schroder instead.

The three starting point guards who have played against Chicago this season have averaged 35.33 points, rebounds, and assists this season, and Schroder is averaging 23.8 PRA while averaging 32.5 minutes per game.

IND @ DAL - Pascal Siakam, 7.5 Rebounds

Pascal Siakam’s rebounds prop is not the highest Edge on the Props.Cash app for this game, it’s the second highest. The other was a field goal attempt prop, so we’ll highlight Siakam instead.

Siakam gets a great matchup against the Mavericks, who have given up big rebound games to other star power forwards like Chet Holmgren (11) & Scottie Barnes (11). Through three games this season, Siakam is averaging 10.3 rebounds with a 67% hit rate.

Siakam’s rebound data this season

POR @ UTA - Taylor Hendricks, 9.5 Pts + Reb + Ast

Taylor Hendricks points, rebounds, and assists prop has the highest Edge on the Props.Cash app for this game.

Hendricks has gone under this number in back-to-back games, finishing with just 6 PRA in each.

Hendricks’ PRA data this season

But in his first game, he had 19 PRA, and he gets a key matchup against Portland tonight, who have been dominated by small forwards this season.

Small forwards against the

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Jamal Murray’s points, rebounds, and assists prop has the highest Edge on the Props.Cash app for this game.

Point guards have fared well against the Pelicans, with all three going over their line against New Orleans.

  • Prayton Prichard, line of 26.5 PRA, finished with 29 PRA

  • Stephon Castle, line of 27.5 PRA, finished with 28 PRA

  • Ja Morant, line of 36.5 PRA, finished with 41 PRA

Murray is 3 for 3 against this line, averaging a whopping 41.3 combined points, rebounds, and assists. He’s coming off a 52 bomb, too.

LAL @ MIN - Austin Reaves, 42.5 Pts + Reb + Ast

Austin Reaves’s PRA prop is not the highest Edge on the Props.Cash app for this game, it’s the fourth highest. The other three were fantasy score props, so we’ll highlight Reaves instead.

Without LeBron and without Doncic, Reaves is the guy in LA for the time being. He has a 75% hit rate this season against this line, averaging 51 PRA, and is averaging 60.5 PRA since Luka went down with his injury.

Austin Reaves’ PRA data this season

MEM @ PHX - Cedric Coward, 11.5 Points

Cedric Coward’s points prop has the highest Edge on the Props.Cash app for this game.

Coward is averaging 16.5 points in the first four games of his career, going over this number in 3 of his first 4 games, narrowly missing with 9 points in that fourth game.

Cedric Coward's points data this season

Shooting guards have fared well against the Suns this season, too:

  • Svi Mykhailiuk, 11 points, 36 minutes

  • Christian Braun, 20 points, 31 minutes

  • Tim Hardaway, 4 points, 26 minutes

  • Bradley Beal, 6 points, 20 minutes

  • Zach Lavine, 30 points, 34 minutes

  • Malik Monk, 19 points, 27 minutes

  • Keon Ellis, 9 points, 12 minutes

Coward is averaging 23.3 minutes this season.

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The NHL EDGE Newsletter went 11-5, let’s see what the NBA does tonight!

See you Sunday!