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Analyzing Potential TD Scorers for Wildcard Weekend

As we head into Wildcard Weekend, we dug into Props.Cash to find potential players who have a good chance to find the end zone based on matchups, recent form, and the way their teams are trending. Let’s dive in.

Chargers: Johnson's Road Success

Houston’s defense has struggled against the pass, allowing the 2nd most passing touchdowns per game (2.0). Given that vulnerability, we’re spotlighting Johnson as our player to watch. He finished the regular season with 8 touchdowns, and more importantly, 5 of those came on the road.

His ability to score away from home is why we chose him over Ladd McConkey, his counterpart, who only managed 2 road touchdowns—and both came in the same game. Additionally, Johnson led McConkey 11-9 in red zone targets this season, giving him more chances to find the end zone.

Texans: Collins' Home Advantage

The Chargers rank 10th in passing touchdowns allowed and 4th in rushing touchdowns allowed, which puts our focus on the air attack for this matchup. The Chargers have allowed a receiving touchdown to a wide receiver in 13 of 18 games this season. While Nico Collins has had an impressive year, we’re highlighting him for the Texans.

Collins had a touchdown in 5 of 6 home games, but only 1 touchdown on the road, so his home-field advantage could be key in this matchup. Look for him to capitalize on the Chargers’ defense that has been vulnerable against the pass all season.

Ravens: Derrick Henry’s Big Game Potential

The Steelers’ defense allows 0.92 rushing touchdowns per game to running backs, and while it’s easy to imagine Henry scoring, the real question is: Can he get multiple touchdowns?

Henry had 1 touchdown in two games vs. the Steelers this season, but he’s had 4 multi-TD games at home and has a solid history of scoring in primetime games, with 4 touchdowns in his last 5 primetime games. The weather is expected to be cold and possibly wet, which could lead to more rushing opportunities for Henry. All 5 of his multi-TD games came when he had 21 or more rushing attempts, making him a solid bet to find the end zone at least once, possibly twice, in this matchup.

Steelers: Pat Freiermuth vs. Ravens' Weak Secondary

For the Steelers, there’s no standout touchdown candidate, but Pat Freiermuth has had the most consistent production in the receiving game. The Ravens’ passing defense is among the weakest in the league, ranking 2nd worst in yards allowed and allowing the 9th most passing touchdowns (1.69 per game).

Freiermuth scored a touchdown in 4 of his last 6 games, and with Pittsburgh’s limited offensive weapons, he’s a good bet to find the end zone once again against a Baltimore defense that’s shown some vulnerabilities in the passing game.

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Bills: Josh Allen to Keep Rolling

The debate between James Cook and Josh Allen for Buffalo’s top touchdown scorer is a tough one, but we’re leaning toward Allen. Allen has been the more consistent scorer, particularly at home, with 4 touchdowns in his last 4 home games - scoring in 3 of his last 4.

The Broncos rank 5th in rushing touchdowns allowed to running backs, but they’re 13th in rushing touchdowns allowed to quarterbacks. 2 of the last 3 quarterbacks to face Denver (Joe Burrow and Anthony Richardson) both scored.

Broncos: Marvin Mims’ Hot Hand

For the Broncos, Marvin Mims has been on fire. Mims closed out the regular season with back-to-back 2-touchdown games and found the end zone in 3 of his last 5 games. The Bills defense allows 1.33 passing touchdowns per game, ranking 15th in the NFL, and while they’ll likely look to Courtland Sutton first, Mims could be the second option to exploit Buffalo’s secondary.

If Mims can continue his strong finish to the season, he’s a good bet to score in this matchup.

Eagles: Saquon Barkley’s Bounce-Back Performance

Saquon Barkley hasn’t scored a touchdown in his last 3 home games - it’s been weird. In his only game against the Packers this season, he had 3 touchdowns, and while the Packer’s defense has been solid against the run (allowing 0.83 rushing touchdowns per game), it’s Saquon in the playoffs, man.

Given his history with Green Bay and the fact that he’s overdue for a big game, can Barkley score? We hope so!

Packers: Jacobs On The Road

Josh Jacobs has been dynamite on the road, scoring a touchdown in 6 straight road games to close out the season. He had 16 TDs this season, and the next three players (Tucker Kraft, Jayden Reed, and Christian Watson) had 18 total. With Jayden Reed ice cold, Christian Watson out, and Kraft scoreless 4 straight games, we’re going to highlight the biggest name in the Packers locker room.

This is a hard team to get a read on…

Buccaneers: Bucky? Rachaad? Nope, Otton!

Yes, Cade Otton only had 4 touchdowns this year, but the Commanders gave up 0.75 receiving TDs per game to tight ends, 27th in the NFL.

Bucky Irving, Rachaad White, Mike Evans, and Jalen McMillian are going to get a lot of love here, but the Commanders gave up a receiving TD to a tight end in 3 of their last 6 games in the season.

Commanders: Terry McLaurin’s Road Dominance

The Buccaneers have been weak in several key defensive areas, including allowing 1.85 passing touchdowns per game, which ranks 28th in the NFL. That’s great news for Terry McLaurin, who has been outstanding on the road this season. McLaurin has scored a touchdown in 6 of 8 road games and has had 3 multi-touchdown games during that stretch.

With Tampa Bay’s struggles against the pass, McLaurin is well-positioned to continue his road dominance and find the end zone once again.

Rams: Slot Receivers vs the Vikings

When it comes to Cooper Kupp, it’s simple—he’s a slot receiver that’s hard to stop. The Vikings’ defense has struggled against slot receivers, making Kupp a prime candidate for a touchdown in this matchup. Check out our NFL Best Bets video for more.

Vikings: A Good Matchup for JJ

Big players, big moments. It will be Justin Jefferson’s second career playoff start, and this matchup looks like a good one for him. The Rams allow 1.25 receiving touchdowns per game to wide receivers (the 2nd most in the NFL).

They also give up the 7th longest average long-passing touchdown, and with JJ’s elusiveness, there’s a good chance he’ll get free for a deep pass sometime on Monday night.

See you Tuesday!