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The Hottest Bats in Baseball
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We struggled with giving the intro a title, but it occurred to me that the fire emoji was perfect. In this newsletter, weāre only highlighting the hottest bats in baseball, and there are a few of them that are scorching right now. But firstā¦
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Hot Hitters
When finding the three trends for hot hitters below, we considered two things: post-all-star break stats and the historical data for the batter versus the opposing teamās starting pitcher. We think we found some gems.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases
Vladdy is scorching hot coming out of the all-star break, hitting this line in all 5 games with 21 total bases in just 5 games. He had 7 bases in the game before the break, too.
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And then thereās his matchup with Rays righty Taj Bradley. Theyāve gone to battle against each other 8 times at the plate, and Vladdy has gotten the better of Bradley.
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Vladdy has 1 single, 1 double, and 1 home run against Bradley, and 2 RBIs
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Total Bases
Weāre staying in the Jays/Rays game for our second trend, with Randy Arozarena. Arozarena has gone over this line in 3 of his 5 games since the all-star break, with 18 total bases over that span.
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And he has chewed apart Jays starter Chris Bassitt, with a .429 batting average in 14 plate appearances, and 4 extra-base hits.
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Arozarena has a .857 slugging percentage lifetime versus Bassitt
We like Arozarena to stay home against the Jays right-hander.
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Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Total Bases
Lindor has gone over this line in 3 of his 5 games since the all-star break, but he has at least a base hit in all 5 and a great matchup historically today.
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Lindor faces Chris Sale. Yes, Sale is having a renaissance season, and looks like the Chris Sale of old, but the data between these two is positive for Lindor regardless of how Sale has looked in 2024.
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Lindor has 13 hits in 31 plate appearances versus Sale, including 3 extra-base hits.
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Tuesday Recap
4-1 on Tuesday, 118/228 since we started tracking the newsletter on April 16th. 52% hit rate. Back-to-back weeks in the green.
MLB Recap
Jameson Taillon Over 4.5 Strikeouts ā Taillon pitched 7 solid innings, but only had three Kās.
Colin Rea Over 1.5 Walks ā Rea pitched a solid game, but he did give up two walks.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases ā Guerrero Jr. hit a homer, easy cash.
Shohei Ohtani Over 1.5 Total Bases ā Ohtani had a double and single, easy cash.
Bobby Witt Jr Over 1.5 Total Bases ā Bobby Witt stayed hot with a double, easy cash.
NFL Futures
From our July 18th newsletter: Tyreek Hill Over 1375.7 Receiving Yards āļø To be determined