Two Nights, Four Games, Two Semi-Final Spots On The Line

There are 4 quarterfinal games over the next two nights to decide the 4 teams who will play in the semi-final. We dove into Props.Cash to find one interesting thought to share with you, our newsletter community, ahead of tip-offs tonight. First, here are the games:

Magic vs Bucks: Can the Magic Overcome Injuries?

Paolo Banchero has been out with a torn right oblique since November 1st, and Franz Wagner joined him on the injured list with the same injury. It’s as small of a sample size as you can have but in the one game this season without their two best players, two other Magic starters stepped up.

• Center Goga Bitadze scored 21 points, grabbed 16 rebounds, and managed 4 assists.

• Shooting Guard Jalen Suggs scored 26 points, grabbed 4 boards, and had 2 assists.

Can either one have the same type of game tonight? This is how Milwaukee ranks against centers and shooting guards, respectively.

• Milwaukee allows 18.73 points to centers (2nd in the NBA), 14.2 rebounds (10th), and 4.03 assists.

• Milwaukee allows 22.99 points to shooting guards (22nd in the NBA), 6.52 rebounds (26th), and 4.79 assists (17th).

On paper, Suggs has the better matchup, and they’ll need him tonight especially because Giannis always shows up for games against Orlando, averaging 32.9 points per game when playing 25 or more minutes in his last 7 matchups with the Magic.

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Mavericks vs Thunder: With All The Big Names, Is Isaiah The Key?

In a game with Luka Doncic, Shai-Gilgeous Alexander, Kyrie Irving, and Jalen Williams, we wonder if the Thunders starting center could be the key to how this game ends up 👀

Isaiah Hartenstein has averaged 29 points, rebounds, and assists since making his Thunder debut in mid-November, which means he missed the Thunders matchup versus the Mavs on November 17th. In that game, the Mavs two centers had pretty solid showings:

• Derek Lively had 12/5/3 that night, with all of his points in the paint

• Daniel Gafford had 11/12/0 that night, with all of his points in the paint

Having a true center for tonight’s game, to go up against the Mavs two big men, will likely play a role in who books their ticket to the semi-final tonight. The other key to this is that the Mavs give up quite a bit to centers, especially in the paint.

Hawks vs Knicks: Jalen Johnson, Josh Hart Have The Best Defense vs Position Ranking…

Johnson Fact #1: the Knicks give up a lot of points to small forwards, 25.91 points to be exact. That puts them 29th in small forward defense. The Hawks’ Jalen Johnson is averaging 19.8 points per game and has gone over his betting line (18.5) in 65% of his games this season.

Johnson Fact #2: the Knicks give up 8.95 rebounds per game to small forwards, that’s the worst in the league. Johnson is averaging 9.9 rebounds per game this year and has gone over his betting line (9.5 rebounds) in 52% of his games this year.

Josh Hart Fact #1: the Hawks are 29th in shooting guard defense in regards to points per game.

Can Josh Hart take advantage? His betting line tonight is 13.5, a line he’s gone over in 50% of his games this season while averaging 13.9 points per game. Hart had 14 points against Atlanta earlier this season, too.

Warriors vs Rockets: Steph Love The Rockets

In his last 9 matchups versus Houston, Steph Curry has averaged 28.9 points, 5.1 rebounds, and 7.3 assists. How well has Houston guarded point guards this season?

Curry’s betting line is 24.5 points, a line he’s only been over in 33% of his games this season while averaging 23 points per game. Is Steph’s history versus Houston going to play a bigger role in a game that means something, or will Steph’s 2024 season continue? Something has to give!

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See you Thursday!