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Conference Finals in the NBA, NHL

In the NBA, the Minnesota Timberwolves and Oklahoma City Thunder play game one tonight in the Western Conference Finals, and the Indiana Pacers and New York Knicks play game one tomorrow in the Eastern Conference Finals.

In the NHL, the Florida Panthers and Carolina Hurricanes play game one tonight in the Eastern Conference Finals, and the Edmonton Oilers and Dallas Stars play in the Western Conference Finals starting tomorrow night.

Over the next 48 hours, four of the final eight teams will look to take a 1-0 lead in their Conference Championships. Here’s some player prop data that could give you an edge in these opening matchups.

NBA

Western Conference - Naz Reid, 10.5 Points

Reid has scored 22+ points in 3 of his 4 games against OKC this season, averaging 22.5/11.0/3.2 in those four games.

But Reid failed to hit this mark in his last three playoff games, scoring 9, 5, and 8 points. In those games, he averaged 23.3 minutes and 7.3 points. In the other 7 games, he averaged 26.3 minutes and averaged 12.6 points.

And lastly, in the 4 games against OKC this season, Reid averaged 37 minutes. With all of that information, how many minutes do we need to see from Reid for the 10.5 points to be in play? When he plays 23 or fewer, he seems to struggle against this line, averaging just 8.1 points. When he plays 24 to 30 minutes? 13.8 points. And when he plays 31+ minutes? 19.6 points. Let’s hope we see somewhere between 22 and 28 minutes for Reid in game one.

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Eastern Conference - KAT, 22.5 Points

Karl-Anthony Towns averaged 30.3 points in three games against Indiana, with a 30-point and 40-point performance in two of the three games. Although he’s struggled in the playoffs against this line, averaging 19.9 points per game, only going over this line 33% of the time.

In those games against Indiana, where he averaged 30.3 points, he went over this number twice and under once. In the two games he went over, he played 38 or more minutes. When he’s played 38 or more minutes this season, KAT is averaging 27.7 points, and 32 points at home playing 38+ minutes.

NHL

Eastern Conference - Sam Bennett, 2.5 Shots on Goal

Bennett had 26 shot attempts and 18 shots on goal in the four games he played against Carolina this season.

He went under this line in 5 of the 7 games against Toronto, but he went over in 4 of 5 in the first round versus Tampa Bay.

Can Bennett find his stride from the first round against a team he’s had success against this season?

Western Conference - Jason Robertson, 0.5 Points

Robertson was a problem for the Edmonton Oilers this season; 6 points, 4 goals, 9 shots on goal, and 20 shot attempts in just three games this season against Edmonton.

Although he had a slower series against Winnipeg, with just one point and zero goals in 6 games, Roberston was just returning from injury. In those games, he averaged just under 15 minutes and played 17 or more once. In the regular season, he averaged nearly 18 minutes a game. This season, when he played 17 minutes or more, he had a point in 32 of 54 games (59% hit rate)

Can Roberston shake off the injury rust and continue his hot play against the Oilers?

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MLB Head-to-Head Matchups

⚾️ Steer: .500 vs Falter (17 PA) — 2 2B + HR. Hit in 8 straight.
⚾️ Bellinger: 6 hits in 12 PA vs Corbin — .415 last 10 games 🔥
⚾️ Bogaerts: 5 hits in 9 PA vs Bassitt — 6 hits, 12 HRR in last 5.
⚾️ Turner: 4 singles in 11 PA vs Senzatela — .345 vs LHP in ‘25.

Let the numbers talk 🧠💥

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See you Thursday!