Let’s not waste any time - the final regular season Sunday of the NFL season is here, and we have a trend for each game in the 1 PM & 4 PM windows. And then, of course, the crucial Sunday Night Football game to crown the AFC North.

Let’s get into it.

Lawrence has 7 passing touchdowns in his last 2 home games, and 2+ passing touchdowns in 5 of his last 6 games overall. He looks to build on that against a Titans defense that ranks 23rd in passing touchdowns allowed to opposing quarterbacks, with 80% of opposing QBs clearing their line against Tennessee in their last 10 games.

He also had 2 passing touchdowns against the Titans earlier this season.

Six straight kickers have knocked in at least 2 field goals against the Colts, with 2 of the last 3 knocking in 3+ field goals against Indy. And then here’s Fairbairn, who has 2+ field goals in all but one game this season, and 2+ field goals in 11 straight games. Adding onto that, he has 3+ field goals in 6 of those 11 games. And he’s never gone under this line at home.

The Texans are -10.5 point favorites, so the offense should be able to get within Fairbairn’s range a few times in the game.

There’s not a ton of data to go over here. Tune was the third string until last week, and is starting with Love and Willis out. However, he attempted only 4 passes last week and still threw an interception. And now he has to face the top blitzing defense in the NFL, which has registered at least 1 interception in 4 of the Vikings’ last 5 games.

He probably won’t throw a ton, but the data we do have points to a likely interception.

Yes, Lamb has less than 55 yards in back-to-back games, but it wasn’t because of a lack of targets. In games where he’s played 60% of snaps or more, he’s averaging 9.8 targets and 6.2 receptions. In the last 2 games, he had 7 targets/6 receptions and 10 targets/5 receptions. Hopefully, against a Giants defense that gives up a ton to opposing wideouts - they rank 25th in yards allowed to opposing wide receivers and 24th in longest receptions allowed to opposing wide receivers - Lamb can turn those targets into yards, like has has in the past.

In his last 9 games against the Giants, he’s averaged 89.3 yards, including a 112-yard game against New York back in September.

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All the attention of this game is on Myles Garrett, who is 1 sack away from the NFL sack record. And let’s be honest - he’s going to get it, the Bengals’ offensive line is truly awful. However, since the pressure has ramped up in recent weeks regarding the record, and even more focus has been placed on Garrett, it has opened the field for other Browns defensive players.

Alex Wright has been at the forefront of that. He has 2.5 sacks in his last 3 weeks, after having just 3 sacks in the previous 11 games combined. Earlier this season against Cincy, he did not get a sack, but he played just 40% of defensive snaps. In their last 4 games, since he’s really come on, he’s played 65% or more of snaps. And this season, when he’s played 60% or more of the defensive snaps, he has a sack in 4 of 5 games.

Maye is rocking - he has 7 passing touchdowns in his last 2 games, 2+ passing touchdowns in 3 of his last 4 games, and 2+ passing touchdowns in 5 of his 8 home games this season, and had 2 passing touchdowns against Miami earlier this season.

A Miami defense that ranks 25th in passing touchdowns allowed to opposing quarterbacks, with 60% of opposing QBs clearing their passing touchdown line against the Dolphins in their last 10 games.

6 of the last 8 QBs to play Miami have thrown for 2 or more passing TDs

Thank god, the Rams have something to play for. If they win this game, they secure the 5 seed and will go on the road in Carolina or Tampa Bay to face the winner of the NFC South. They absolutely want that, and they’ll play their starters as long as it takes to secure the win. Just 4 weeks ago, they crushed Arizona by 28 points, and Jacoby Brissett threw the ball a ton trying to keep up, 44 times to be exact.

Because the Rams are so good and score so many points, opposing QBs have had to sling it against them, with 60% of opposing QBs clearing their passing attempt line against the Cardinals in their last 10 games.

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Deebo loves Josh Johnson.

Josh Johnson loves Deebo.

Deebo is 4/4 against this longest reception line with Johnson under center, averaging a longest reception of 27.0 yards. And then there’s the matchup with the Eagles, who rank 30th in longest receptions against opposing wide receivers. Just recently, on December 20th, Deebo had the longest reception of 20 yards against Philly.

Prater has cleared this line in 71% of his games this season, and in 4 of his last 5 games overall. He’s missed a few weeks with a quad injury, but he returns this week, hoping to build on his impressive 18/20 overall record this season.

Prater has also been lights out at home, clearing this 6.5 kicking points line in 86% of his home games, averaging 7.4 games.

No team in the NFL gives up more kicking points per game this season than the Jets, and 70% of opposing kickers have cleared their kicking point line against New York in their last 10 games. 3 of the last 4 have 10+ kicking points against them, and all but one have had 7 or more kicking points against the Jets this season.

This game might be the worst of the season - both teams are playing for nothing, Mahomes is out for the year, Kelce is checked out for his career, and Bowers is chillin’ on injury reserve. This game SCREAMS ugly. In his only game this season starting, he threw an interception. Plus, the Chiefs’ defense has 3 interceptions in their last 5 games.

We looked at every prop for this game and didn’t much to like. With the game not mattering, and the quarterbacks being placeholders, this prop was the only one that jumped off the board. Our second favourite prop: avoiding this game altogether.

The Chargers are sitting starters, including Justin Herbert, so touchdowns are going to be hard to come by with Trey Lance under center, no Herbert, and a stout Broncos defense. Enter Cameron Dicker.

Dick is averaging 2.3 field goals per game this season, with 2+ field goals in 11 of 16 games, in 3 of his last 4, and 7 of his last 10. He’s also been impeccable on the road, averaging 2.4, with 2+ field goals in all but one road game.

And this strong Broncos defense has allowed 5 of the last 6 kickers they’ve faced to rack up 2 or more field goals.