Props.cash newsletter: NHL is back!

Haven’t tried props.cash yet? Use code “NEWSLETTER” for 25% off your first month! Sign up here.

The NHL season is here, and so too is our updated dashboard

We’re inching closer to the sweet spot of the calendar year. In just two weeks, we’ll have NBA, NFL, MLB and NHL all going simultaneously. We welcomed one of those sports back into the fold this week with the start of the new hockey season.

Our NHL dashboard is live and running and we’re excited to shine a light on a few of the updates this year.

One simple yet effective addition is the inclusion of more statistics for each opposing team that night. We’ve always shown goals and shots allowed numbers, but there’s plenty more at play now.

A few stand out:

• Penalty Minutes

• Penalty Kill %

• Blocked Shots

• Shot Attempts

Those penalty metrics can help circle opportunities where a player established on his team’s top power play might be in for a big night.

Take Philadelphia’s defensive numbers from last season. The Flyers averaged the ninth-most penalty minutes per game last year, and their penalty kill ranked sixth-worst. That’s the type of intersection that can make you think the team opposite them might find some power play scoring.

A quick glance down at the Columbus players and their PP Minutes last year shows that Johnny Gaudreau was one of the Blue Jackets’s staples on the power play.

Now, a situation like this might compel you to consider Gaudreau for a power play point, and at +200, there’s some level of intrigue there. It certainly helps to see that he did indeed deliver in two of the four meetings last season.

However, this could also be only the first piece of the puzzle. Knowing that the power play element exists could be reason to feel better about Gaudreau recording a point in general. For those new to hockey betting, a point is either a goal or an assist.

If you scroll down to Gaudreau’s PP minutes filter, you can quickly see how more minutes on the power play positively impacted his points prop.

First, his 2022-23 season for his points:

Now, let’s start playing around with the new filtering options for some of these supporting statistics.

The first chart shows Gaudreau’s hit-rate against his point prop with 3+ PP minutes, a jump to 63% from 59%. The second shows what 4+ minutes of PP ice time did for his points prop, aiding a 71% hit-rate.

Now sure, +200 for a PPP is an exciting price to consider, but what we’re trying to convey here is that just knowing that extra element is at play here can help you feel good about another type of prop in the same realm. Maybe Gaudreau does get a point on the power play, or maybe he gets it on even-strength play. Doesn’t knowing those PP opportunities exist make you feel better about a point in any form?

By leaning on the defensive trends for opponents, you can start putting various players into expected situations and buckets. You’d be amazed what playing around with the filters does for a player’s hit-rate.

Let’s give another example, for Shots on Goal

We once again begin by clicking through the games to find a defensive target that catches our eye, and in comes the Nashville defense, who ranked 27th in SOG allowed/game and 28th in shot attempts seen. The Predators seem to be trending towards once again being a good shot target, as they allowed 33 shots to Tampa Bay on Tuesday.

With our sights set on a target, we turn then to the Seattle players who might be best-positioned to take advantage.

Jared McCann led all eligible Kraken players with six shot attempts in their first game of the season, turning that volume into five SOG. He led Seattle in shot attempts/game last season, averaging 5.0/game, and in two meetings against Nashville, McCann piled up 11 total shot attempts.

If we assume that McCann is bound for 5+ shot attempts tonight, watch how his hit-rate changes from the 50% rate you see above.

To do this: scroll down to any of the varying metrics on a player’s page and simply move the slider on the statistic you want to track against. You can include multiple filters if you’d like.

Isn’t it beautiful? Not only does his hit-rate at Over 2.5 SOG fly up to 73% when he sees at least five attempts, but he often puts up some massive games, averaging 3.6 SOG/game. That 2.5 number looks quite inviting now.

Acknowledge that you’re playing with assumptions when you do this, but such is the beast of prop betting. We’re giving you the tools to grab insights from the assumptions you have.

What are you waiting for? Hop into props.cash and put these tools to use!

It’s not too late to put Batter vs. Pitcher historical matchups to use

Humble brag, but this writer spent approximately 30 seconds on props.cash yesterday and saw that Nick Castellanos had two homers in five at-bats vs. Bryce Elder and subsequently told all his friends and family to bet a homer. Castellanos knocked one out on his first swing of the day.

Baseball season may be winding down, but our historical matchups tab remains a must-visit if you want action on the games.

A quick hop over today highlights a few names to know: Austin Riley and Brandon Marsh. Marsh is remarkably +115 to grab a hit tonight, fresh off three hits yesterday. In 12 PA against Spencer Strider, Marsh is hitting .364, and he hits RHP better on the year. Seems pretty solid to us…

Then there’s Riley.

Riley has been rolling this series and is averaging 1.2 hits per game against the Phillies over the past two seasons. In 18 PA vs. Ranger Suarez, Riley is hitting .400 with three singles, two doubles and a homer.

Might we suggest a props.cash newsletter special of Gaudreau point/Riley hit? 🤔

TNF Trends for Tonight