4 Series, 4 Massive Games Plus the WNBA Gets Going

Below is one trend for each NBA team tonight, one trend for each WNBA game, and one trend for each NHL team. There are 13 trends in total, our biggest newsletter to date. We wanted to kick things off with our MLB trend of the day because the first pitch is at 1:10 Eastern.

MLB Trend of the Day

Bryson Stott Over 1.5 Total Bases

Two reasons we like this trend today:

• Stott is on fire, he has 16 bases over his last 5 games

And Stott has mashed against Mets starter Jose Butto, with 4 hits in 7 plate appearances.

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NBA Trends

New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers Game 5

There are some obvious trends in the New York and Indiana series; the home team has won all 4 games in the Knicks and Pacers series, and both games at the Garden went over while both games in Indiana went under. Tonight, they’re back at the Garden for a pivotal game 5.

TJ McConnell Over 18.5 Points+Rebounds+Assists

McConnell has gone over this line in 4 of his last 5 games, and 3 of the 4 games so far this series.

He’s supplied solid minutes off the bench, and with the overplaying well in the Garden this series, those solid minutes should continue.

Donte DiVincenzo Over 3.5 3PTM

DiVincenzo has been a bucket at home, going over this line in 7 of his last 10 home games, including both games in this series at home.

Plus he’s coming off a brutal showing in game 4, where he went 1 for 6 from three. In games this season where he attempted 7 or more threes, he’s gone over this line 66% of the time.

We’re looking for a bounce back at home for DiVincenzo

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Game 5

The road team is 4-0 in this series so we will focus our first trends on a road team bounce-back performance.

Karl Anthony Towns Over 19.5 Points

Karl Anthony Towns was, well terrible, in both games at home. He scored just 27 points over two games on 33% shooting. In his career, KAT is a 52% shooter, so those two games should be the outlier.

He has to bounce back in a big spot, right?

Michael Porter Jr. Over 15.5 Points

Porter Jr. had a weird game 4, playing 35 minutes but only attempting 4 shots. And with the series shifting back to Denver, Porter should see roughly the same amount of minutes. When he’s played 35 or more this season at home, Porter Jr. has been over this line 74% of the time.

We’re leaning on the bounce-backs tonight, but the data suggests these guys are likely to return to their normal patterns.

Stanley Cup Playoff Trends

Florida Panthers vs Boston Bruins Game 5

The Bruins are down 3-1 to Florida, can they reverse uno the Panthers from last season or is this it for Boston?

Matthew Tkachuk Over 3.5 Shots on Goal

Matthew Tkachuk has been all over it in this series. Tkachuk has gone over this line in 3 of 4 games so far, with 17 total shots in the three games he’s gone over.

Aleksander Barkov Over 0.5 Points

Barkov has been incredible in this series, with points in every game. He has 8 in just 4 games.

Following the hot hand, here.

Vancouver Canucks vs Edmonton Oilers Game 4

This series has been epic, and tonight another wrench gets thrown into the spools. Stuart Skinner will sit, and Calvin Pickard will make his first Stanley Cup Playoff start. Game 4 should be a dandy.

Brock Boeser Over 0.5 Points

Boeser was awesome in game 3, and we like him to keep his hot streak going in game 4.

He has points in every game of this series, let’s hope he makes it 4 in a row tonight.

Zach Hyman Over 3.5 Shots on Goal

Hyman has three jobs on the Oilers: get to the front of the net, fire rebounds on goal and get as many of them across the line as he can.

Hyman has been over this line in every game this series, with 16 shots through 3 games and 23 shot attempts.

WNBA Trends

The WNBA season kicks off tonight! Here’s one trend for each game:

• Washington Mystics vs New York Liberty: Jonquel Jones (NYL) over 12.5 points, she was over this line 60% of her road games the last two seasons.

• Connecticut Suns vs Indiana Fever: Aliyah Boston (IND) under 9.5 rebounds. The reigning rookie of the year averaged 8.5 rebounds per game in her rookie season, and she’s up against the top rebounder in the league tonight.

• Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury: Diana Taurasi (PHX) under 14.5 points. We’re fading one of the goats here, Taurasi has gone 4 straight games against the Aces.

• Seattle Storm vs Minnesota Lynx: Kayla McBride (MIN) has a solid history against the storm, so we’re again highlighting this trend for the head-to-head matchup.

Thursday Recap

NBA Recap

Isaac Okoro Over 9.5 Points+Rebounds+Assists ✅ Okoro delivered 12 points, and good thing he did because he only added 0 assists and 1 board.

Jayson Tatum Under 42.5 Points+Rebounds+Assists ✅ Tatum looked like he was going to cook us at halftime, he finished with 25/7/7 to finish with 39 total.

Aaron Wiggins Over 10.5 Points+Rebounds+Assists ✅ It was close, but Wiggins came through. He had 9 points and 2 boards.

Jaylin Willimas Over 3.5 Points ✅ Williams was given 14 minutes and used them well, racking up 8 points.

MLB Recap

Sonny Gray Over 6.5 Strikeouts ❌ Gray had his worst outing of the year, allowing 4 earned runs in the first two innings. He settled down but still didn’t get there finishing with 6 K’s.

NHL Recap

Sebastian Aho Over 2.5 Shots on Goal ✅ The Hurricanes put 47 shots on Igor Shesterkin, and Aho had 5 of them, but they’re on the brink of elimination.

Vincent Trochek Over 3.5 Shots on Goal ✅ Trochek continues to shine in the playoffs, he racked up 2 assists and 4 shots on goal in game three. The Rangers might sweep back-to-back series,

Jake Oettinger Over 26.5 Saves ✅ This came down to the final minute, but Oettinger closed the door when the Avs pushed for the tie. He finished with 28.

Overall Recap

Since we started tracking the newsletter on April 16th, our suggested trends are 37/63 (58%).

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