Props.Cash Newsletter: AFC & NFC Championship Games Are Here

Author

Michael Mohorovich
January 25, 2024

Mahomes vs Jackson, Goff vs Purdy - which two will head to Las Vegas in just over two weeks for Super Bowl 58? Utilizing props.cash we’ve found some interesting trends to consider for the two championship games that will decide just that.

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Chiefs vs Ravens - Mark Andrews

It’s looking like the Ravens are going to get a big boost with Mark Andrews trending toward playing this weekend. He’s been out since getting injured on November 16th against Cincinnati. And if Andrews plays, Lamar Jackson gets his number-one option back.

Andrews has hit this line in all but two games this season and in one of those games, November 16th against Cincinnati, he was injured on the opening drive. Even if he is returning from injury, a line this low in a game this big jumped out at us.

Chiefs vs Ravens - Travis Kelce

The hall of fame tight end on the other side loves playing in the big games too. Even with a somewhat down year, Travis Kelce is still producing and he’s hit the over on his receiving line in 53% of games this season, including both Chiefs playoff games.

What makes this even more attractive is what George Kittle did to the Ravens defense just two weeks ago.

49ers vs Lions - George Kittle

Is it the weekend of tight ends?

Even if Deebo Samuel plays, this is still a great spot for Kittle. He’s hit this line in nearly 60% of his games this season and in 7 of his last 10 games. And this is a Lions defense that is stout against the run but they give up plenty through the air.

49ers vs Lions - Jared Goff

We had to highlight one trend that wasn’t a tight end, right? The Lions may run into issues running the ball against the third-best run defense in the NFL, so Jared Goff could have some room through the air.

He’s been over this passing yards line in 4 straight games and 5 of their last 6. This is a middle-of-the-pack passing defense, ranked 14th in the NFL but like we said, the third-best rush defense by yards per game, so Goff may be throwing the ball 35 or more times which will help his chances of getting to 265 yards.

Could Be a Good Spot For a Repeat

Let’s use the “vs Opp” filter to find value in tonight’s NBA slate. On the main trends page, the “vs Opp” filter will show you how players have faired in their careers against the opponent they’re playing that night.

As you can see in the screenshot above, the first name pops off the page. In his career, Jrue Holiday has cooked against the Miami Heat. In his last 10 games against the Heata, Holiday has never missed this line.

And in his last 10 games this season, Holiday is clipping at a 60% hit rate. For the season? 65%. It looks like a good spot for Holiday here.

After using the “vs Opp” filter to find historically good spots for players in any given slate, you can then look at how they’re playing recently like we’ve done with Holiday to find an even better spot.

John Collins Points

Washington’s defense is the worst in the NBA and Collins has hit this line at 63% this season and 60% in his last 10 games.

Bam Adebayo Points

Although Bam has missed this line in 3 of his last 5 games, he’s still hitting it at a 71% rate this season and in 7 of his last 10 games.

James van Riemsdyk Shots on Goal

James van Riemsdyk is shooting the puck! He’s hit this line in 9 of his last 10 games and 72% of his games this season. The Sens allow, on average, 30.81 shots on goal per game, good for 20th in the NHL.

Cole Caufield Points

Cole Caufield is one of the hottest players in the league right now. He has points in 7 straight and gets a favorable Islanders matchup that has given up the 6th most goals. Points should be for the taking tonight.