Props.Cash newsletter: Finding value in just a few minutes

How to quickly use Props.Cash to unearth prop gems.

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props.cash
December 21, 2023

We love to see props.cash users citing positional weaknesses in their NBA research

We love all the engagement we get on Twitter/X, particularly watching as users share the ways they put props.cash to use. We try to RT as many of the interesting trends and analysis that we can, and a common factor in prop bettor’s processes right now appears to be our positional data on the NBA dashboard.

We’ve certainly brought up this feature before, but now available for every single prop is an added filter on our home page, D vs. Pos. The above is sorted based on most points allowed to each position.

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A quick scan in this direction flags DeAndre Ayton playing a Wizards team allowing the most points per game to centers. Ayton has a lot of red attached to his season, going over his 15.5 line in only 36% of his games and just three of his last 10. However, there’s one clear sign that he deserves more attention today: that 100% hit-rate against the opponent.

Ok, that’s a bit more than just hitting in every game against Washington, Ayton has obliterated the Wizards the past two times he’s seen them, dropping 30 and 31 last December.

Sure, but he’s on a different team now, so that’s worth exploring.

This was the usage role Ayton was functioning with when he had these big games, and we shouldn’t simply expect another 30-point outing until we see how he’s functioning in this Portland offense.

There isn’t a sustained type of minutes and field goals that we’d probably like to see, but he is fresh off the most field goal attempts he’s had in a game this season, a 40-minute game against his old team, the Phoenix Suns.

Let’s say for a minute Ayton gets off 14 FGA tonight. That’s a slightly arbitrary number, but we’re seeing a guy who just shot it 18 times facing a good opponent who he has a rich history against.

If Ayton can find that type of volume, he’s a near certainty to go over this 15.5 points line set on him for this evening.

Listen, we’re just pointing out an interesting trend. In just a few minutes time, we found a great target for Center points, a player who has had some big games against them, and just found his involvement rise in his team’s most recent game.

It’s interesting, it’s most definitely interesting. Go find yourself a path of inspiration today in the NBA and let us know about it!

Points props in the NHL continue to have the highest hit-rates

If you don’t know where to start with your hockey research, we always recommend starting on the dashboard where you can sort by hit-rates for a variety of lengths of time. Points continue to be the steadiest NHL prop we see, but juiced odds tend to follow.

The below are the steadiest producers from Thursday’s slate of games against their point prop over the past 20 games.

For the most part, we’re looking at odds of -150 or worse. That doesn’t mean you can’t play them, it just means you might need to parlay two legs together if you’re hoping to be closer to plus-money. However, by looking at the odds, it certainly makes Calgary’s Blake Coleman look all the more intriguing, currently priced at +100 to record a point tonight.

Coleman has a point in seven straight games and in five straight on the road. He’s got an enviable target this evening in the Anaheim Ducks, an opponent that ranks 22nd for goals allowed and 29th in power play goals allowed per game.

He has a point in two straight meetings, and his recent involved role makes him an option to ponder here.

His time on ice has seen a slight uptick, and a reason certainly appears to be getting some time on the power play of late. Knowing that element exists against one of the teams allowing the most PP goals is all the more reason to consider Coleman to keep it rolling for Calgary.

For the most part, the NHL market is on to points props being the most consistent, pricing them accordingly. It’s why when you find a guy who has been just as steady and is playable straight, it makes you think.

Hop in today to see what other type of value you can find with the odds and hit-rates!

Matthew Stafford Pass Yards

Matthew Stafford has hit his “PassYards” prop in three straight games – While on this streak, Stafford is putting up exactly 250 PassYards/G. He now gets NO who have the 6th best Pass defense in the league – Last season, Stafford recorded 159 PassYards vs NO

Rashid Shaheed Receptions

Rashid Shaheed has reeled in three or more “Receptions” in four of his last five – During this stretch, Shaheed is logging 3.2 Receptions/G while seeing 4.8 Targets/G. Last week, three different WRs hit their Reception Line vs LAR – Will Shaheed be included in that trend tonight?

Karl-Anthony Towns Rebounds

Karl-Anthony Towns has grabbed 10 or more “Rebounds” in seven of his last 10 – Across this span, KAT is putting up 10.7 Rebounds/G. The Lakers currently allow the 8th most Rebounds/G – How many Rebounds will KAT record vs LAL?

Kyle Kuzma 3PT Made

Kyle Kuzma has drained three or more “3PT Made” in four of his last five games – During this stretch, Kuzma is logging three 3PTM/G. The Trail Blazers are allowing the fewest 3PTM/G while having the 2nd lowest Opponent 3PT%