Props.Cash newsletter: Let's build a parlay together

Hunting down threes props on the NBA tool

Maybe you’re like us during this holiday week, simply wanting to sit back with some friends and families and root on some prop parlays together. That could certainly just be an every-week thing, but, with more families and friends likely finding their way to each other this week, why don’t we try and help you be the hero of the room with some value spots worth a look?

For today’s exercise, we’re thinking some 3PT props could be the move. Our first step is to just skip around each NBA game until we can find some targets worthy of our attention.

The key for us is always going to be finding that clean intersection between 3PT allowed and 3PT%, and after just a few minutes of scanning Thursday’s board, we’ve found us our targets.

Haven’t tried props.cash yet? Use code “NEWSLETTER” for 25% off your first month! Sign up here.

Leg 1: New Orleans Pelicans

The first defense we see as a target worth exploring is the Utah Jazz, and New Orleans is the offense opposite them this evening.

There are two different paths you could consider going down. The first is to simply find the player shooting the most threes, as volume can certainly be king in a market like this.

That would be CJ McCollum

The Pelicans guard is certainly chucking up a solid stream of 7+ attempts from deep, though we sure would love the makes to be accompanying this volume at a slightly higher clip.

Alternatively, might we recommend you use the dashboard page to filter by this game and by 3PTM to find the positions the Jazz are most vulnerable to? In this case, it’s SFs, opening the door to two potential options in Brandon Ingram and Herbert Jones.

Of those two, we’re thinking Jones looks best. For starters, he’s over his 0.5 line in 57% of his games this season and has solid recent history against Utah.

Jones has a three in three straight meetings, and over his last 10 overall, he’s averaging a solid 3.1 long-range attempts/game, which seems like a reasonable number considering we’re asking him to only make one.

When Jones attempts 3+ threes, he’s over 0.5 in 73% of games dating back to last season. Herbert Jones sticks out to us.

Leg 2: Denver Nuggets

Memphis is another team ranking as a favorable target for shots from deep, coming in 27th in the league in both threes allowed and opposing 3PT%.

The Nuggets end feels a bit simpler to us, it’s gotta be Michael Porter.

Porter has rising attempts from long-range, and the makes are following. If for a second we assume he will once again operate with at least seven attempts from three, a fair assumption considering he’s done that in two of his last three games against Memphis, Porter then looks pretty solid at tonight’s line.

This year, when Porter chucks up 7+ threes, he’s over this 2.5 line at a 68% rate, never once finishing below two made threes, if you’d prefer a safer floor for tonight.

Leg 3: Portland Trail Blazers

We’ll wrap up this fun little hunt through the board with the best target in the league for threes props: the San Antonio Spurs. As you can see, they rank dead-last in both metrics we’ve been tracking against, and really just across the board, you’ll want to be finding props against San Antonio. We’ve got just the man to take advantage.

Anfrenee Simons has come alive from deep over the past few games, as you can see above. It’s no coincidence either, he’s chucked up 14-13-12 attempts in these games to help power some big shooting nights.

In his past three meetings with San Antonio, he’s averaging 4.7 3PTM on 8.7 3PTA, going over tonight’s line twice. We’ve got a hot-hand in Portland that seems worth backing until something changes.

Just like that, we’ve found us three viable targets in this prop market in Herbert Jones, Michael Porter Jr., and Anfernee Simons.

Should you want to parlay the three, we certainly understand. Consider the above a light-hearted and fun exploration through the board during the holidays, plus showing you how you might be able to hop in to props.cash for only a few minutes and find yourself spots that look best for the evening.

Good luck tonight, and Happy New Year!

TNF Trends this Week

NHL Trends for Tonight