Back-to-Back Trends

Three NBA teams are playing in back-to-backs tonight: the Chicago Bulls, the Golden State Warriors, and the Sacramento Kings. Let’s use the zero-day rest filter to find one trend for each tonight.

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NBA

Warriors - Brandin Podziemski Over 9.5 Points

Brandin Podziemski has gone under this line in 4 of his last 5 games, but on zero days’ rest, he’s gone over this line in 7 of 11 games this season.

Podziemski needs 10 points for the over, and if you look at how shooting guards have performed against the Bulls recently, 10 is definitely within reach for the first-year guard.

Bulls - Nikola Vucevic Over 2.5 Assists

Apparently, on zero days of rest, Nikola Vucevic loves to move the ball. He’s had at least three assists in 7 of his 9 back-to-backs this season.

Additionally, Vucevic loves to move the rock on the road, hitting this line in 20 of his 29 road games up to this point.

Kings - Keegan Murray Over 5.5 Rebounds

On zero days of rest this season, Murray has been great on the boards. He’s gone over this number in 63% of his back-to-backs this season (5/8).

And it’s a good matchup against the Spurs. They’re without Wemby and even with him, they give up a ton of rebounds.

NHL

We’re sticking with the zero-day rest filter for the NHL, too. That gives us three teams to pick from: the Toronto Maple Leafs, Buffalo Sabres, and Ottawa Senators.

Maple Leafs - Auston Matthews Over 3.5 Shots on Goal

Two things make this trend attractive: Auston Matthews has hit this line in 5 straight games on zero rest, and 63% of zero days rest games this season.

And the second one is Matthews tendency against the Bruins, where head-to-head he’s gone over this line in 6 of his last 8 against Boston, including all three games this season.

Sabres - Jeff Skinner Over 2.5 Shots on Goal

Jeff Skinner loves firing the puck on back-to-backs, hitting this line at an 88% clip on zero rest this season.

And like Matthews with the Bruins, Skinner has outstanding numbers against Nashville. He’s hit this in 5 straight against the Preds.

Senators - Drake Batherson Over 2.5 Shots on Goal

Let’s start with the head-to-head data for Batherson first. He had three shots against the Kings earlier this season and has had at least three shots in 3 of his last 4 games against the Kings dating back to 2021.

And his zero-rest data is solid, too. 5 for 8 this season for a 63% hit rate.

100% in the NBA vs Opponents, 65% this season

Three players in tonight’s NBA have hit their points line 100% of the time against their opponents and are hitting it at a 65% clip or higher this season.

Luka Doncic against Miami:

Cade Cunningham against Brooklyn:

Andrew Wiggins against Chicago: