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First Seed, Second Seed, Third Seed, Fourth Seed…

One, two, three, four….anyone else remembers that Feist song? No? Just us?

The first-place team in the East (Boston), the second-place team in the West (Oklahoma City), the third-place team in the East (Milwaukee), and the fourth-place team in the West (LA Clippers) are all in action tonight.

One, two, three, four: here are four trends for these four playoff-bound teams.

Boston Celtics - Jayson Tatum Under 29.5 Points

Sorry Celtics fans, we’re fading Jayson Tatum here. He’s got a tough matchup against the Phoenix Suns, having gone under this line in three straight against them. Plus, Tatum has only managed 30 or more points in 37% of his games this year.

Tatum has lost all momentum in his MVP bid in recent weeks, averaging 27.2 points per game in his last 15. And in those 15, he’s been under this line in 11 games, and in 9 of those games, he’s had 27 or fewer points.

OKC Thunder - Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 1.5 Steals

The recent data for SGA isn’t good for this trend, he’s only registered two or more steals in 4 of his last 10 and 5 of his last 15. But looking at the big picture, SGA has been over this line in 56% of his games this season.

What jumped out to us in our research for this trend was his head-to-head data against Dallas. Shai has 11 steals in his last 5 games against the Mavs, going over this line in 3 of his last 5 against Luka & c

Milwaukee Bu- Wait No, Tyrese Maxey Over 2.5 3PT Made

We said we were going to highlight a Bucks trend in our opening, but after some time in the lab, I decided this was the right trend to highlight from this game. Tyrese Maxey has been the main guy in Philadelphia since Joel Embiid went down and he’s stepped up his play across the board, including some stellar shooting from beyond the arc. He’s been over this line in 4 of his last 5 games and 61% of the time this season.

And just like SGA’s head-to-head steal data, Maxey’s 3PTM data is solid against the Bucks. He’s gone over this line in 4 of his last 6 in games against Milwaukee.

Los Angeles Clippers - Kawhi Leonard Over 0.5 Blocks

Running back a trend from just the other day: Kawhi registered one block on March 9th against the Bulls, marking three games in a row that Leonard has had at least one block against Chicago.

And his home/away splits for this season also make this an attractive trend. On the road, Kawhi clips this at a 60% rate, but at home that jumps up percentage points to 68%.

The Race For The Rocket

I know what you’re thinking, “there is no race for the Rocket, Auston Matthews has it”. And there’s a 99.9999% chance you’re right. But his recent slump has left a paper-thin crack in the door for the award. Zach Hyman scored again Wednesday night and Sam Reinhart has 7 goals in his last 7 games.

They’re still 8 goals back of Matthews, so like we said there’s virtually no chance of Matthews not winning it, but if he doesn’t get back on the horse quickly and Reinhart/Hyman keep going, it’s not out of the question that they make it at least interesting.

Can Matthews score tonight to make me look silly? Likely. He has great numbers against Philadelphia, notching a hat trick against them on February 15th and scoring 6 goals over his last 6 games against the Flyers.