Props.cash newsletter: How to research TD props

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Using NFL red zone data to help fuel touchdown bets

Yes, explosive touchdowns happen in the NFL, but a large portion of the scores each week occur close to the goal line.

It’s for that reason you need to be studying a player’s red zone usage (or lack thereof) before locking in any touchdown props.

Luckily, we’ve got you covered there on props.cash. You may have noticed it already, but there is a “Red Zone” tab available for every player.

You can filter a player’s props by Field Length, shown in the top right corner. Shifting over to red zone offers up a few key metrics that can help you with your touchdown bets:

• Red Zone Snaps (out of total team’s Red Zone snaps)

• Red Zone Rush Attempts

• Red Zone Targets

This usage is so important to know and understand for a player. Now sure, you could look at Brian Robinson’s touchdown success this year and conclude that he’s probably the red zone back in Washington, but wouldn’t it be best to confirm that, just in case?

To view metrics like rush attempts in the red zone, you’ll want to click Redzone on that filter, and then shift over to a player’s rush yards (or receiving yards) chart. Once you do that, you’ll be greeted by the following below a hit-rate chart.

Initially what we’re seeing is this: over 50% of the red zone snaps at running back have been Robinson’s, and he’s had a steady stream of red zone rushing attempts each week. All four of Robinson’s touchdowns have come in the red zone, and this usage is a big reason why.

Analysis on a player isn’t complete without looking to a teammate from the same position.

A glance over to Antonio Gibson confirms our hypothesis, Brian Robinson is getting the vast majority of red zone work for Washington. That should come in handy on Thursday night against a Bears team allowing the second-most touchdowns to running backs this year.

How about some WR touchdowns?

Sure, you got it.

Despite a strong start to CJ Stroud’s career, Robert Woods has yet to find the end zone from his flourishing QB. It’s not like Woods isn’t involved out there. He’s averaging 53.3 snaps per game and has seen 31 targets through four weeks.

Despite his steady usage, Woods has watched Nico Collins score three times and Tank Dell haul in two touchdowns. When will Woods find pay dirt?

Well, if you look at Houston’s red zone usage, it seems only a matter of time.

First, Collins’s and Dell’s red zone stats this year:

That’s certainly nothing special. The snaps are nice, but there haven’t been too many targets for either pass-catcher.

Woods, meanwhile, has averaged more snaps per game inside the 20, and has piled up five targets. Now, we’re not saying Week 5 is the week Robert Woods scores a touchdown, but going under the hood can help shine a light on some potential positive regression coming a player’s way.

For what it’s worth, Atlanta (who Houston is playing this weekend) has allowed 1.5 passing touchdowns per game this year, good for 12th-most in the league.

NHL is now live on props.cash, with plenty of new features!

Would you believe it? The NHL season starts in just five days! Here we were, perusing Thursday Night Football angles, and we see one more tab than normal up top for our various sport offerings.

We’re obviously clicking that the minute we see it. Not only is the dashboard up, but there are a ton of props available now for research.

If you’re unfamiliar with our hockey offering, we bring forth charts and angles for each of the following NHL props:

• Shots on Goal

• Points

• Goals

• Assists

• Power Play Points

• Blocked Shots

• Goals Allowed

• Saves

There are a boatload of new additions to aid in your prop research. Here’s a quick sneak-peek of all that’s under a player’s prop chart, beyond his actual hit-rate and opponent stats.

At first glance, we’re seeing a few new research aids, namely blocked shots against vs. shots missed, which should help to offer some more context around a player’s total volume.

This is going to be one exciting year on the ice. Connor McDavid faces Vancouver to get his season started. To say he’s had success against the Canucks would be a slight understatement.

We’ll be back next week with more hockey. Get logged in and start researching today!

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