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Props.cash Newsletter: Two ways we recommend putting props.cash to use
For NHL props, sometimes it can be as simple as looking at history vs. opponent
Whether it’s a big hockey slate and you have just a bit of time, or you’re looking to shake up your research process with a simplistic view of the night’s situation, we recommend starting on our home trends page.
The above table is sorted by the “vs Opp” filter, something we often see cited when NHL bettors share out their favorite prop looks of the night. We saw just how popular it was and extended the date-range offered yesterday. You’ll now be able to see prop performance against the night’s opponent going back to the 2021-22 season, a much larger sample size that can potentially strengthen a read.
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Consider Kirill Kaprizov from the above table, he is sporting both an 80%+ hit-rate in his last five games and against the day’s opponent.
An initial scan at his recent output and volume make the Minnesota star an appealing choice.
Then there’s what he’s been able to do against the Rangers in recent meetings.
It doesn’t necessarily check off all the boxes we’d want to see, New York is one of the stingiest teams to shots this season, but they do rank highly among penalty minutes handed out at 11.42 (26th in the league).
That’s intriguing, as Kaprizov leads the NHL in power play shots this season. If you didn’t know, you can filter a prop’s hit-rate when seeing “x” amount of PP minutes.
Let’s say the Rangers continue to struggle with penalties tonight. Check out how Kaprizov has fared in games in which he’s logged 4+ Power Play minutes.
That’s an over in seven of eight games this year, including 7 SOG against the Rangers just five days ago.
Just like that, a game and player that may not have been circled now has our attention simply from a visit over to the home trends page.
When in doubt: use the trends page as a launching point.
Turn an NFL defensive strength into a player prop opportunity
We don’t blame you if you slightly cringed when seeing that it was the Carolina Panthers and Chicago Bears squaring off tonight on primetime. Don’t let that bias get in the way of some solid player prop research!
This Bears defense is a perfect example of how you can read into defensive metrics to form a projection on how the night will unfold.
While our brains are programmed to think “Green = Go” it can be equally important to acknowledge when and how red is greeting you on our NFL page.
Note where Chicago is tight: it’s all on the ground. They’re allowing the fourth-fewest rush yards per game, thanks in no small part to the fact that teams are running the football at the 10th-lowest frequency against the Bears defense.
Does Chicago truly have an elite run defense, or is their secondary just so bad that teams are opting to target them in that regard? It almost doesn’t matter for the sake of this exercise. Teams aren’t running against the Bears, and when they are, it isn’t working anyway.
Just look at how recent RBs have fared against their rushing yardage total when facing Chicago.
By all means, you could take this information and run towards fading either Chuba Hubbard or Miles Sanders unders.
While Miles Sanders dealt with an injury a few weeks ago, it’s clear he’s losing his job to Hubbard.
Rather than look to RB unders, you can apply this read another way. If Carolina isn’t going to find any success on the ground, and perhaps rarely even try, wouldn’t that suggest they’re going to throw the football?
QB Bryce Young has had a tough rookie season, but he’s certainly sporting the volume you’d want to see. He’s over this 32.5 pass attempts line in five of seven games, with 38+ attempts in three of four and all three road games.
If you look back to those defensive metrics, you’ll notice that Chicago is allowing the seventh-most passing attempts per game at 36.56. That makes sense when you consider the relationship between pass attempts and rush attempts, and it makes this read seem all the more inviting tonight.
We’re not telling you what to bet here, but rather hoping you’ll start to take one angle and consider what that means for the rest of the offense. By working backwards on props.cash, you may just find a trend with a solid hit-rate worth backing.
Looking to get ahead on Week 10 research? Prop lines are already starting to trickle out, and we have everything you need to lock in the trends that stand out. Sign up for props.cash today with code “NEWSLETTER” for 25% off your first month.
NBA Trends for Tonight
Tyrese Haliburton Assists Tyrese Haliburton has recorded 12 or more “Assists” in five of seven games – So far this season, Haliburton is dishing out 11.9 Assists/G. The Bucks are allowing the 11th most Assists/G – How many Assists will Haliburton be able to record tonight? | Dejounte Murray 3PT Made Dejounte Murray has hit his “3PT Made” prop in four of his last five – During this stretch, Murray is taking 6.6 3TPA/G while making exactly 3 3PTM/G. ORL’s defense allows the 6th fewest 3PTM/G while also having the 10th lowest Opponent 3PT% |
NFL Trends for Tonight
Adam Thielen Receptions Adam Thielen has reeled in seven or more “Receptions” in six of eight games – Across this span, he’s being targeted just under 10 times each game. The Bears defense is allowing the 2nd most PassYards/G – Can Thielen get back on track after going under last week? | Tyson Bagent Pass Attempts Averaging 27.5 PassAttempts/G over his first four games, Tyson Bagent has thrown 29 or more “PassAttempts” in each of the three games he’s started. The Panthers defense allows the 5th fewest PassYards/G while seeing the 2nd fewest opposing PassAttempts/G |