Seahawks, 49ers Kick Off Week 7

WNBA Finals Begin & NHL Night 3

Author

Michael Mohorovich
October 10, 2024

In partnership with

How are NFL Betting Trends Shaping Up?

Note: The numbers are listed as such in each week's column (Players who qualified under that line parameter and overs-under).

Position and Line

Week 1

Week 2

Week 3

Week 4

Week 5

What We Can Take Away

QB’s, 199.5 Passing Yards or Higher

29 (8-21)

72% went under in week one

23 (8-15)

65% went under in week two

18 (8-10)

55% went under in week three

21 (11-10)

47% went under in week four

21 (12-9)

42% went under in week five

Week after week, QB’s continue to throw for more yards

RB’s, 39.5 Rushing Yards or Higher

31 (12-19)

63% went under in week one

29 (19-10)

34% went under in week two

29 (13-16)

55% went under in week three

22 (12-10)

45% went under in week four

26 (17-9)

34% went under in week five

More RB’s qualified under this line, and they continued to trend under

WR’s, 49.5 Receiving Yards or Higher

30 (9-21)

70% went under in week one

25 (12-13)

52% went under in week two

23 (11-12)

52% went under in week three

22 (14-8)

36% went under in week four

24 (16-8)

33% went under in week five

WR’s continue to trend over, which makes sense with the way QB passing yards have gone

TE’s, 29.5 Receiving Yards or Higher

12 (2-10)

83% went under in week one

12 (6-6)

50% went under in week two

11 (3-8)

72% went under in week three

9 (5-4)

44% went under in week four

12 (9-3)

25% went under in week five

Tight ends continue to be the hardest player group to make sense of.

Run The Damn Ball!

What’s the title all about? Check out what Seahawks head coach Mike Macdonald was wearing yesterday when meeting the media:

Can they do that against a 49ers defense that is top 10 in rush defense and rush attempts? We’ll find out tonight.

Thursday Night Football

The division-leading Seattle Seahawks (as we all expected 😂) face the 49ers, looking to snap a 2 game-losing streak.

Juan Jennings Over 30.5 Receiving Yards

Jennings had gone over this line in the first 4 weeks of the season before managing just 1 catch on 4 targets last week, and only 13 yards. But our projection model likes Jennings to eclipse this line by 44 yards, and in the projection model, we trust!

In terms of receiving yards, the projection model likes Jennings the most tonight

Brock Purdy Over 7.5 Longest Rush

One of our partners, @KyleJustBets, had a great write-up for the 49ers and Seahawks game and Brock Purdy tonight. Check it out below!

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Kenneth Walker Over 18.5 Receiving Yards

Another one of our partners, @TopDawgPickz, focused on Kenneth Walker for a play he posted on X. We were going to highlight it, but here’s his write up was solid:

Ladder It Up for the WNBA Finals

@PropTheMic, one of our OG partners, had a great write-up for game one of the WNBA Finals.

Dylan Guenther is a breakout candidate in the NHL this season, and @doyskibets likes his shots on goal line tonight.

Dylan Guenther Over 2.5 Shots on Goal

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Recap

3-1 on Friday, 214/411 since we started tracking the newsletter on April 16th. 52% hit rate.