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How are NFL Betting Trends Shaping Up?
Note: The numbers are listed as such in each week's column (Players who qualified under that line parameter and overs-under).
Position and Line | Week 1 | Week 2 | Week 3 | Week 4 | Week 5 | What We Can Take Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
QB’s, 199.5 Passing Yards or Higher | 29 (8-21) 72% went under in week one | 23 (8-15) 65% went under in week two | 18 (8-10) 55% went under in week three | 21 (11-10) 47% went under in week four | 21 (12-9) 42% went under in week five | Week after week, QB’s continue to throw for more yards |
RB’s, 39.5 Rushing Yards or Higher | 31 (12-19) 63% went under in week one | 29 (19-10) 34% went under in week two | 29 (13-16) 55% went under in week three | 22 (12-10) 45% went under in week four | 26 (17-9) 34% went under in week five | More RB’s qualified under this line, and they continued to trend under |
WR’s, 49.5 Receiving Yards or Higher | 30 (9-21) 70% went under in week one | 25 (12-13) 52% went under in week two | 23 (11-12) 52% went under in week three | 22 (14-8) 36% went under in week four | 24 (16-8) 33% went under in week five | WR’s continue to trend over, which makes sense with the way QB passing yards have gone |
TE’s, 29.5 Receiving Yards or Higher | 12 (2-10) 83% went under in week one | 12 (6-6) 50% went under in week two | 11 (3-8) 72% went under in week three | 9 (5-4) 44% went under in week four | 12 (9-3) 25% went under in week five | Tight ends continue to be the hardest player group to make sense of. |
Run The Damn Ball!
What’s the title all about? Check out what Seahawks head coach Mike Macdonald was wearing yesterday when meeting the media:
Can they do that against a 49ers defense that is top 10 in rush defense and rush attempts? We’ll find out tonight.
Thursday Night Football
The division-leading Seattle Seahawks (as we all expected 😂) face the 49ers, looking to snap a 2 game-losing streak.
Juan Jennings Over 30.5 Receiving Yards
Jennings had gone over this line in the first 4 weeks of the season before managing just 1 catch on 4 targets last week, and only 13 yards. But our projection model likes Jennings to eclipse this line by 44 yards, and in the projection model, we trust!
In terms of receiving yards, the projection model likes Jennings the most tonight
Brock Purdy Over 7.5 Longest Rush
One of our partners, @KyleJustBets, had a great write-up for the 49ers and Seahawks game and Brock Purdy tonight. Check it out below!
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Kenneth Walker Over 18.5 Receiving Yards
Another one of our partners, @TopDawgPickz, focused on Kenneth Walker for a play he posted on X. We were going to highlight it, but here’s his write up was solid:
Ladder It Up for the WNBA Finals
@PropTheMic, one of our OG partners, had a great write-up for game one of the WNBA Finals.
Breanna Stewart Rebound Ladder
Night 3 in the NHL
Dylan Guenther is a breakout candidate in the NHL this season, and @doyskibets likes his shots on goal line tonight.
Dylan Guenther Over 2.5 Shots on Goal
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Recap
3-1 on Friday, 214/411 since we started tracking the newsletter on April 16th. 52% hit rate.