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The Best Three From Three

O’Neal, Hardaway Jr, DiVincenzo…

O’Neal, Hardaway Jr, DiVincenzo…

O’Neal, Hardaway Jr, DiVincenzo…

O’Neal, Hardaway Jr, DiVincenzo…

O’Neal, Hardaway Jr, DiVincenzo…

Those are the three names you need to know today…We think.

O’Neal, Hardaway Jr, DiVincenzo…

O’Neal, Hardaway Jr, DiVincenzo…

O’Neal, Hardaway Jr, DiVincenzo…

Why O’Neal, Hardaway Jr, DiVincenzo? We’re happy you asked.

Donte (2.5 3PTM) When The East Comes To Town…

You know that scene in Step Brothers, during the climax of the movie, where everyone keeps saying, “It’s the Catalina wine mixer…”

Yeah, that one ⬆️

That’s how Donte DiVincenzo feels, from the three-point line, when he sees an Eastern Conference team roll into town.

Donte’s 3PTM against Eastern Conference teams at home this season

And it’s the Toronto Raptors that represent the East in Minnesota tonight. Those pesky Raptors rank 24th in defending spot-up shooting. Donte scores, checks notes, 37.9% (!!!!!!) of his points from spot-up shooting. And when he faces teams that are in the bottom 7 of defending spot-up shooting, Divincenzo cooks 👨‍🍳 at home: 12 games, averaging 2.8 made threes with a 67% hit rate…

Donte has found success against Sam Neill’s favourite dinosaur named team this season, too:

DiVincenzo has 12 threes in 3 games against Toronto this season

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Neill to O’Neale (2.5 3PTM): Power Forwards vs the Bulls

From Sam Neill to Royce O’Neale, both power forwards in their own right (?!), the data against the Chicago Bulls looks gooooooooood!

Power forwards 3PTM data against the Bulls

69% of opposing power forwards have cleared their own 3PTM line against Chicago in their last 10 games. Let’s add a layer onto this cake: 4 of the last 5 starting power forwards to play against the Bulls have at least 5 attempts from three, and three of the four had 7 or more attempts from three. Let’s split the difference: how does our boy Royce do when attempting 6 or more threes? Ask, and we will answer!

He’s averaging 3.2 made threes with 6 or more attempts this season, with a 74% hit rate.

What’s even better is those same 3PTA parameters at home!

O’Neale’s 3PTM data at home with 6 or more attempts

3.3 made threes average with an 82% (!!) hit rate. And we should add that he‘s averaging 7.2 attempts from three in his last 10 games.

Beautiful. Bring us home, Mr. Royce.

O’Neale’s Volume to Hardaway’s Volume

Tim Hardaway Jr’s 3PTM line is 2.5 3PTM.

With that established, today’s NBA data lesson is in 4 data steps: Tim Hardaway Jr is a different man since December 22nd, and should show it tonight.

Data Step 1: A Different (Volume) Man

Pre December 22nd: he averaged 5.80 3PTA and 2.3 3PTM per game.

Post December 22nd: he’s averaging 7.6 3PTA and 3.0 3PTM per game.

Data Step 2: The Lakers D

The Lakers rank 28th in 3-point defense against opposing small forwards, with 53% of opposing small forwards clearing their 3PTM line against LA in their last 10 games.

Data Step 3: H2H

Hardaway Jr had 8 3PTA’s against the Lakers, hitting zero 3’s. He has had 23 games this season with 8 or more attempts, and in only two other games with 8 or more attempts, Hardaway had fewer than 2 makes. In the other 20 games, he averaged 4.45 made threes with 5 or more made threes 8 times.

Data Step 4: Put It All Together

When Hardaway has 7 or more attempts against the bottom ten-ranked 3-point defenses, he averages…

Hardaway versus bottom 10 3-point defenses wehn he has 8 or more attempts from three

3.2 made threes with a 78% hit rate. Also note: All but two of those games are on December 22nd or later. Bring us home, Timmy!

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