Thursday Night Football and the NL Wild Card

Betting Trends for the Two Primetime Events

Author

Michael Mohorovich
October 03, 2024

NFC South on Thursday Night Football, National League Wild Card on Center Stage

The Tigers, Royals, and Padres are through to the divisional round. In typical Mets fashion (not making it easy on their fans), they were the only team that failed to sweep their wild card series and will play a winner-take-all with Milwaukee tonight, after some late-game heroics from Garrett Mitchell πŸ”₯πŸ”₯πŸ”₯πŸ”₯πŸ”₯

And in football, wide receivers have started to find more success week after week.

Position and Line

Week One

Week Two

Week Three

Week Four

What We Can Take Away

WR’s, 49.5 Receiving Yards or Higher

30 (9-21)

70% went under in week one

25 (12-13)

52% went under in week two

23 (11-12)

52% went under in week three

22 (14-8)

36% went under in week four

Wide receivers had their best week for the over so far. Can it continue in week 5?

Can that continue on Thursday Night Football? But first, wild card trends!

New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers

Call it a gut feeling, we just can’t see Francisco Lindor’s MVP-caliber season ending tonight. Maybe we just don’t want to see it, the Mets have been so much fun since Grimace threw out the first pitch.

Jose Iglesias Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

Iglesias has hits in 24 straight games. 24! @KyleJustBets said it best.

But the books have caught on, and his line has moved to 1.5 hits for tonight. Fortunately, we can still get Iglesias at 1.5 hits, runs, and RBIs, and with Francisco Lindor hitting in front of him, the RBI is in play. Iglesias has been over this HRR line in 20 of his last 30 games and 7 of his last 10.

Iglesias has been on fire over his last 30

Jackson Chourio Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

We’re riding the hot hand!

Chourio has been the MVP of the wild card series for the Brewers thus far

Chourio has 10 hits, runs, and RBIs in the first two games of the season, including two home runs last night.

He also had a great history against Mets starter Jose Quintana, albeit in a small sample size, with 2 singles and a double in 6 plate appearances.

Chourio has a .800 slugging percentage against Quintana

Thursday Night Football

Baker Mayfield and Mike Evans versus a Falcons secondary that has given up a lot to number-one receivers this season, and Bijan Robinson faces one of the worst red zone rush defenses in the NFL.

The Falcons’ secondary has allowed 5 key wide receivers to go over this line this season.

Shaheed, Olave, Rice, Smith, and Pickens have all gone over this line vs Atlanta

Evans went over this line for the first time last week, with 94 yards. In one of the two games he went under he was up against Patrick Surtain and the Denver Broncos. His reception line is juicy, too.

Mike Evans Over 4.5 Receptions

Mike Hughes Over 4.5 Tackles + Assists

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Tuesday Recap

3-2 on Tuesday, 201/389 since we started tracking the newsletter on April 16th. 52% hit rate.

MLB Recap

Jose Altuve 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs ❌

Luis Severino Over 5.5 Strikeouts ❌

Michael King Over 4.5 Strikeouts βœ…

Orlando Arcia Over 0.5 Batter Strikeouts βœ…

Bobby Witt Jr Over 0.5 Hits βœ