Thursday Night Football Trends

How Multiple Pieces of Data Can Help You Make Better Decisions

Author

Michael Mohorovich
October 24, 2024

In partnership with

The Return of the Wide Receiver(s)

Cooper Kupp returns for the Los Angeles Rams tonight, and Puka Nacau may join him.

Before we get into some trends and a look at the potential assists and rebound chances filters for the NBA, here is our weekly update on how NFL betting trends are shaping up week by week.

How are NFL Betting Trends Shaping Up?

Note: The numbers are listed as such in each week's column (Players who qualified under that line parameter and overs-under).

Position and Line

Week 5

Week 6

Week 7

What We Can Take Away

QB’s, 199.5 Passing Yards or Higher

21 (12-9)

42% went under in week five

20 (11-8)

43% went under in week six

22 (6-16)

72% went under in week seven

Week 7 was a brutal for most player groups, especially QBs.

RB’s, 39.5 Rushing Yards or Higher

26 (17-9)

34% went under in week five

25 (13-12)

48% went under in week six

26 (13-13)

50% went under in week seven

The running backs continue to trend toward the under-week-to-week

WR’s, 49.5 Receiving Yards or Higher

24 (16-8)

33% went under in week five

23 (11-12)

52% went under week six

28 (7-21)

75% went under in week seven

Quarterbacks went under, wide receivers went under.

TE’s, 29.5 Receiving Yards or Higher

12 (9-3)

25% went under in week five

14 (8-6)

42% went under in week six

14 (8-6)

42% went under in week seven

The week of the checkdown? Tight ends were able to stay stable in the air while wide receivers and quarterbacks fluttered.

In weeks 1-3, it was all about defenses.

In weeks 4-5, wide receivers and quarterbacks broke through.

But in the last two weeks, offenses have slowed once again.

What will week 8 bring us?

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We’ve already highlighted that Cooper Kupp is coming back, so it seems only fitting that we show you how you can use Props.Cash to find value in a Cooper Kupp prop for Thursday Night Football.

Cooper Kupp Receptions

There are three features on Cooper Kupp’s reception page that we would recommend using if you’re researching his reception line for Thursday Night Football.

Defensive Rankings:

Halfway down the page on the Props.Cash app, you’ll find “Min Defense” button, which will reveal defensive statistics for the Vikings.

The Vikings are excellent on the ground, but give up a lot in the air

The Minnesota Vikings give up a lot of in the air, ranking in the bottom 5 for passing yards allowed, passing attempts, and passing touchdowns allowed.

Wide Receivers vs the Vikings

Just above that, you’ll see a Historical Lines button. Here you can see how wide receivers have performed against the Vikings this season, and the data shows that a lot of wide receivers have had big performances this season against Minnesota.

Wide receivers have had success against the Vikings

Top receivers Amon-Ra St. Brown, Garrett Wilson, Jayden Reed, Stefon Diggs, and Deebo Samuel all have games with 7 or more receptions against the Vikings this year.

Hit Rates

In his two games this year, Kupp has 14 and 4 receptions. But this is a little misleading because he didn’t play in the second half of his second game after injuring his ankle. So through 6 quarters of football this season, Kupp has 18 receptions.

Kupp’s reception this year

One of the best ways to use Props.Cash is collecting multiple pieces of data and information to make the best decision possible, and this is just one example of how you can do this!

Here are three partner trends from X that we wanted to highlight for tonight’s slate:

Props Prophet - Aaron Jones

Joel Gedeon - Daniel Gafford

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