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Thursday Night Football
The year is 2020 - the Browns won a playoff game with Baker Mayfield & Kirk Cousins had just finished his first year with Justin Jefferson in Minnesota. Both franchises seem to be headed in the right direction, even though they still have lots to improve. And then the Browns browned and sent Mayfield packing, and Father Time eventually came for Cousins.
Now, it’s 2025, and who would’ve thought that we’d be watching Baker Mayfield play Kirk Cousins on primetime in a game where Cousins can play spoiler for the Bucs’ playoff hopes, and Mayfield would be looking for a win to separate his Tampa Bay team from the hungry Carolina Panthers. Fun stuff! It should be a decent game tonight, and we’ve got you covered in today’s newsletter, which also features the NBA and NHL. This is what you’ll find:
One trend for each team on TNF
NBA partner trends from X for a 4-game slate
NHL shots on goal and hero hit rates from WallaBets
Before we get into it, does it feel like wide receivers aren’t having as many big games this season? It feels that way, because they are. We just wanted to share some cool data we found in our internal database:
Now, let’s get into!
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Thursday Night Football
Buccaneers - KyleJustBets
Falcons - Lauren Cowling, BookItSports
Now, I know what you’re thinking: Lauren, is he due? Well, here are three facts for this one that may just support Lauren’s claim:
In the first 6 weeks of the season, Bijan had 39+ receiving yards in 5 of 6. All three of the Falcons’ games on primetime this season were in those first six weeks, and in those three primetime games, he averaged 48.3 receiving yards, clearing this line in 2 of the 3 games.
Bijan in primetime games this season
He gets the best matchup in the NFL - the Buccaneers allow the most receiving yards in the NFL to opposing backs, with 64% going over their lines against Tampa in their last 10 games.
The Buccaneers’ defensive data against opposing running backs
Earlier this season against Tampa, he had 100 receiving yards on just 6 catches and 7 targets. Over his last 5 games, he’s only averaging 3.0 receptions and 3.6 targets. If they get him more involved, he should be in line to answer the call.
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NBA Partner Trends
GK Sports Gambling -
ProphetProps - Chuck it, Porter!
SpadePrizePicks - Can KD Cook?
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NHL Data
Here’s your daily NHL data sheet from Walla!
And check out this trend from our newest partner, WheezerLocks: