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A Touchdown For Every Game + The NFL Edge Report
We’re getting right to it — below are 13 trends, one for every NFL game this week, all researched using Props.Cash. Four of them are featured in this week’s NFL Edge Report on YouTube with KyleJustBets, covering a wide range of prop angles. The remaining nine highlight the most likely touchdown scorer in each matchup based on Edge.
Let’s kick things off in Green Bay.
1 PM Window
MIN @ GB: NFL Edge Report
You’ll find the trend for this game in this week’s NFL Edge Report, below:
IND @ KC: Kareem Hunt, EDGE 0.7
We’re cheating a bit here - Jonathan Taylor had the highest Edge in this matchup, projected for 1.6 touchdowns. The next player on the list is Chiefs running back Kareem Hunt.
Hunt’s touchdown data this season
Here are some quick-hitting facts on Hunt:
Hunt has a TD in three straight, with four TDs total.
He’s averaging 8.6 rush attempts this season. It’s worth noting that he has a touchdown in 5 games this season, and in 4 of those 5, he had 9 or more attempts. This bodes well, considering teams are running the ball against the Chiefs, with four of the last five starting running backs to face the Colts having 10 or more rushing attempts.
And the Colts have given up multi-touchdown games in back-to-back weeks, both to the opposing team’s starting running back.
NE @ CIN: Tee Higgins, EDGE: 0.8
With the absence of Ja’Marr Chase (suspension), Higgins is the WR1. Burrow isn’t quite ready to go, so it’ll be Joe Flacco under center, but that hasn’t mattered lately. Higgins has a TD in four straight and a TD in 5 of his last 6 games.
Hunt’s touchdown data this season
Here are some quick-hitting facts on Higgins:
He has a TD in 3 of his last 5 without Chase, and in his two most recent games without Ja’Marr.
The Pats are an elite defense, but they do rank 28th in receiving yards allowed on the road this season.
Overall, they rank 28th in touchdowns allowed to opposing wide receivers.
They also rank 23rd overall in catching touchdowns.
PIT @ CHI: De’Andre Swift, EDGE 0.8
Swift is off the injury report and gets a decent matchup this week against the Steelers.
Swift’s touchdown data this season
Here are some quick-hitting facts on Swift:
The Steelers are the second-best rushing defense at home this season, but on the road, they rank 25th.
Although they rank 3rd overall in rushing touchdowns allowed to running backs, they’re in tough against Swift, who has scored a TD in 56% of his games.
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NYJ @ BAL: NFL Edge Report
You’ll find the trend for this game in this week’s NFL Edge Report, below:
NYG @ DET: NFL Edge Report
You’ll find the trend for this game in this week’s NFL Edge Report, below:
SEA @ TEN: Jaxson Smith-Njiba, EDGE 0.8
Smith-Njiba is enjoying an all-time breakout season, averaging 114.6 yards per game with 5 touchdowns in 5 games. He hasn’t gone back-to-back games this season without a touchdown outside the top two weeks.
JSN’s touchdown data this season
Here are some quick-hitting facts on JSN:
The Titans rank 20th in touchdowns allowed to opposing wide receivers.
They rank 28th in touchdowns allowed at home this season.
Wide receivers 1’s have scored in 3 straight weeks against Tennessee (Nico Collins, Quentin Johnston & Michael Pittman)
4 PM Window
JAC @ ARI: Travis Etienne, EDGE: 1.1
Just in time for a playoff push, Etienne is getting hot in terms of finding the end zone, with three touchdowns in his last 2 games.
Etienne’s touchdown data this season
Here are some quick-hitting facts on Etienne:
The Cardinals rank 29th in opposing running back touchdowns.
They gave up 3 to Christian McCaffrey last week, 2 to Seattle running backs two weeks ago, and four weeks ago they gave up two to Josh Jacobs and the Packers.
Etienne has a touchdown in 3 of 4 road games this season, compared to finding the endzone three times at home this season across two games.
CLE @ LV: Quinshon Judkins, EDGE: 0.7
Judkins had 0 touchdowns in his first two games, 2 touchdowns over the next 4 games, and a monster 3 touchdown game four weeks ago. Since then, he hasn’t found the end zone in three straight.
Judkins’ touchdown data this season
Here are some quick-hitting facts on Judkins:
Vegas ranks 15th in touchdowns allowed to opposing running backs.
They have not given up a touchdown to an opposing running back in back-to-back weeks.
An opposing running back has scored in just 2 of the last 6 weeks against Vegas.
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PHI @ DAL: Saquon Barkley, EDGE: 0.9
The days of Barkley running through everybody for 150 yards and 2 touchdowns every game, from just last season, seem too far gone. He hasn’t scored in back-to-back weeks and has only 2 touchdowns in his last 5 games, both in the same game.
Barkley’s touchdown data this season
ATL @ NO: Bijan Robinson, EDGE: 1.3
Robinson snapped a three-game skid without a TD last week, scoring twice against Carolina.
Robinson’s touchdown data this season
Here are some quick-hitting facts on Barkley:
Recent opposing starting running backs to face the Saints have gone over this number, finding the end zone at least once.
Date | Opposing Running Backs | Touchdown? |
|---|---|---|
November 11th | Rico Dowdle / Chubba Hubbard | Yes / No |
November 2nd | Kyren Williams | Yes |
October 26th | Sean Tucker | Yes |
The Saints rank 22nd in touchdowns allowed to opposing running backs this season,
Sunday Night Football
TB @ LA: Davante Adams, EDGE 1.4
Adams has a touchdown in 4 straight games, with 7 touchdowns overall in those 4 games. He also has 3 touchdowns from earlier this season, with three in a row between September 14th and September 28th.
Robinson’s touchdown data this season
Here are some quick-hitting facts on Adams:
The Buccaneers rank 13th in opposing touchdowns to wide receivers. They rank 29th in opposing receiver yards allowed.
They’ve given up a touchdown to an opposing wide receiver in three straight games.
Adams is clearly WR1 in LA, with 4 or more receptions in 4 of his last 6 games.
Adams also has 2 touchdowns in his last 4 primetime games.
Monday Night Football
CAR @ SF: NFL Edge Report
You’ll find the trend for this game in this week’s NFL Edge Report, below: