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Carroll, Pasquantino, and Brown

Arizona’s Corbin Carroll and Kansas City’s Vinnie Pasquantino have one thing in common: they’re both scorching hot. Pasquantino was just named the AL Player of the Week, and Carroll likely would’ve been the NL Player of the Week if not for Ranger Suarez’s body of work.

Neither hitter made it into the Batter vs Pitcher sheet today (which you can find here), because we chose to make them the highlight of today’s newsletter and dive deeper into their recent play and their matchup tonight.

On top of those two hitters, we’re also going to preview Hunter Brown’s matchup. Brown has seen his strikeout rates dip over his last 5 starts, but his matchup tonight is an intriguing one.

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Hunter Brown, 6.5 Strikeouts

We’ll sandwich the two hitters down below, and kick things off with Brown. Although he’s failed to throw 7 or more strikeouts in 5 straight starts, Brown gets a matchup worth looking at. This season, no team in baseball has a higher strikeout rate against right-handed pitchers than the Colorado Rockies do.

As you can see, the Rockies’ strikeout rate has declined significantly over their last 15 and 30 days, landing them in the bottom third of the league in strikeouts versus right-handed pitchers (23rd). But the head-to-head history is enough that we’re still encouraged: earlier this season, Brown had 8 K’s versus Colorado, and he had 7 against them in 2024.

Four hitters in this Rockies projected lineup have K rates above 25% against righties, and 3 players have strikeout rates above 30% against Brown. To go even deeper into some Brown analysis, check out Jared Block’s analysis from Trinity Analytics - he’s one of the best:

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Corbin Carroll, 13 In a Row?

Corbin Carroll has a hit in 12 straight games! He’s hitting .336 with three multi-hit games in those 12. When it comes to HRR, Carroll has also been a machine. He has 4 RBIs, 10 runs, and 15 hits, for 29 HRR total, averaging 2.41 HRR per game.

Admittedly, Carroll is in tough tonight. He’s facing young Brewers star Jacob Misiorowski, who has held opposing lefties to a .191 average.

And Misiorowski has averaged just 2.6 hits per start this season and 2.0 earned runs. They’ve never faced before, but Carroll is hitting 8 points better versus righties than he is versus lefties.

Pasquantino, AL Player of the Week

Vinnie has knocked a hit in 7 of his last 8 games, mixing in 11 hits in those 8 games with 4 multi-hit games and a .333 average, plus a 1.328 OPS.

In those 8 games, he has 30 HRR, averaging 3.75 HRR per game. Pasquantino has 4 or more HRR in 5 of those 8 games and 5 or more HRR in 4 of those 8 games.

He is in tough against White Sox starter Martin Perez, who has held opposing lefties to a .136 average in 23 plate appearances. They have battled three times before, with Pasquantino rocking a .333 average with a single. Silver lining: In his last three starts, Perez has thrown 74 or fewer pitches, so if he gets to the white sox bullpen fast enough, he could get some better looks (they rank 14th in ERA).

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Batter vs Pitcher Matchups, August 26th

🔥 Batter vs Pitcher Matchups - Aug 26th 🔥

⚾ Acuña Jr. vs Alcantara: 2+ HRR in 7 of L9 💣 2.0 HRR avg L10 📊
⚾ Bichette vs Ober: 2+ HRR in 10 straight 😳 436 in L10 📈 
⚾ Harper vs Manaea: 2+ HRR in 7 of L10 🔥2.9 avg HRR 📊
⚾ Ward vs Corbin: 8 HRR in last 2 games 💥 hitting .500 in 13 PA’s vs Corbin 👀

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See you Thursday!