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Two Trends In Each League

The Las Vegas Raiders are in Mile High tonight for a very tough game against the stout Denver Broncos defense, and the high-powered offense led by Bo Nix.

There’s only one game in the NBA - the 3-5 Suns versus the 3-4 Clippers, in which two player positions have outstanding DvP metrics.

And in the NHL, there’s a full slate with 9 games. We focused on two trends from the Props.Cash app with a very high Edge.

Let’s get into our analysis on all three, starting things off with Thursday Night Football.

Thursday Night Football

Troy Franklin, 17.5 Longest Reception

Edge: 21.1 Longest Reception

Edge really likes Franklin’s longest reception tonight, and can you blame it? Franklin is averaging an 18.7 longest reception this season, clearing this line in 56% of his games. But even better, he’s averaging a longest reception of 19.8 at home, clearing this line in 3 of 4 games.

This is how wide receivers have performed against Las Vegas in their last 3 games:

• Dyami Brown, Jacksonville, 16 yards

• Brian Thomas, Jacksonville, 34 yards

• Parker Washington, Jacksonville, 22 yards

• Tyquan Thornton, Kansas City, 39 yards

• Rashee Rice, Kansas City, 12 yards

• Xavier Worthy, Kansas City, 15 yards

• JuJu Smith-Schuster, Kansas City, 19 yards

• Marquise Brown, Kansas City, 8 yards

• Elic Ayomanor, Tennessee, 11 yards

• Calvin Ridley, Tennessee, 18 yards

• Chimere Dike, Tennessee, 8 yards

• Ashton Dulin, Indianapolis, 35 yards

• Adonai Mitchell, Indianapolis, 0 yards

• Michael Pittman, Indianapolis, 16 yards

• Josh Down, Indianapolis, 12 yards

Overall, this season, wide receivers have covered their longest reception line by an average of 2.91 yards. They rank 25th in longest reception defense against wide receivers across the NFL.

Bo Nix, 1.5 Passing Touchdowns

Edge: 1.8 Passing Touchdowns

Nix is averaging 1.9 passing touchdowns per game this season, clearing this line in 56% of his games, and in three straight games with 8 passing touchdowns total in those three tilts. This game is in Denver, and his road/home splits are pretty stunning for this trend. On the road, he’s averaging 1.6 passing touchdowns per game, clearing this line 40% of the time. At home? Much better:

He’s cleared in 75% of his games, averaging 2.3 passing touchdowns per game at Mile High. This season, this is how opposing quarterbacks have performed at home against the Raiders:

• Week 1: Drake Maye, 1 Passing Touchdown

• Week 3: Marcus Mariota, 1 Passing Touchdown

• Week 5: Daniel Jones, 2 Passing Touchdowns

• Week 7: Patrick Mahomes, 3 Passing Touchdowns

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NBA - Clippers & Suns

Brook Lopez, 10.5 Pts + Reb + Ast

Edge: 15.4 PRA

Lopez has cleared this line in just 43% of his games this season, but he’s still averaging 10.3 PRA. He had 14 PRA against the Suns earlier this season, who rank 25th in PRA allowed to centers, and in their last seven games, they haven’t had a single center, both starters and bench players, go under this number.

Collin Gillespie, 16.5 Pts + Reb + Ast

Edge: 17.6 PRA

Gillespie is averaging 20 PRA this season, clearing this number in 75% of his games. He’s averaging 23 PRA in his last 5 games, clearing this number in all 5. On home court, he’s averaging 20 PRA with a 75% hit rate.

The Clippers rank 29th in PRA defense against the Clippers, with Gillespie taking advantage of this matchup on October 25th, finishing with 23 PRA.

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NHL

Jakub Dobes, 24.5 Saves

Edge: 32.0 Saves

Dobes is averaging 26.5 saves per game, clearing this line in 67% of his starts. On the road, he’s averaging 28 saves per game, clearing this line in 3 of 4 starts.

This game is in New Jersey, and opposing goalies have performed well against this line number in the Garden State so far:

• Oct 16th, Panthers: Daniil Tarasov, 30 Saves, 3 GA

• Oct 18th, Oilers: Calvin Pickard, 18 Saves, 4 GA

• Oct 22nd, Wild: Filip Gustavsson, 31 Saves, 3 GA

• Oct 24th, Sharks: Yaroslav Askarov, 26 Saves, 2 GA

• Oct 28th, Avalanche: Scott Wedgewood, 26 Saves, 4 GA

Opposing goalies in New Jersey are averaging 26.2 saves, 29.4 shots against, and 3.2 goals against. He should see the shots tonight, so can he get the saves?

Trevor Zegras, 1.5 Shots On Goal

Edge: 3.5 Shots on Goal

Zegras has found a home in Philadelphia, especially after a slower 6 games to kick off his campaign. In those first six games, he had two shots on goal in just 2 of his first 6 games, and he had 2 or more shots on goal in every game since. He’s been especially strong in his last three games, with 12 shots on goal with 31 shot attempts.

He’s cleared this SOG line in 69% of his games, and in 2 of 4 road games. In those road games, he’s averaged 2.5 shots on goal. He gets a juicy matchup - the Predators rank 22nd in shots on goal allowed overall, and 28th in shots on goal allowed at home.

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See you Sunday!