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Player Prop Facts For Week 11
The Sunday edition of Competitive Edge means we’re diving into a full slate in the NFL - there are 14 games Sunday and Monday. This newsletter hit your inbox at 8:30 am, so if you’re reading this now, we’re less than an hour away from the first kickoff with another international game in Madrid between the Commanders and Dolphins.
We’re kicking things off there, following it up with the 13 other games - four of which are straight from our NFL Edge Report on YouTube.
Let’s get into it.
Washington/Miami: NFL Edge Report on YouTube
Our first NFL trend is from our NFL Edge Report on YouTube. Check it out below:
LA Chargers/Jacksonville: Herbert, Longest Pass
Herbert’s longest pass prop is 34.5.
Here are some facts:
He gets an Edge of 44.1 on the Props.Cash app.
He’s cleared this line in 70% of his games this season.
He’s averaging a longest pass of 42.2 yards per game this season.
Jacksonville has given up a longest pass of 35+ in 2 of the last 4 weeks (54, 27, 31, 61).
Tampa Bay/Buffalo: Koen Coleman, Receptions
Coleman’s reception prop is 2.5.
Here are some facts:
He gets an Edge of 2.8 on the Props.Cash app.
He’s cleared this line in 89% of his games this season.
He’s averaging a longest pass of 3.3 receptions per game this season.
Tampa Bay ranks 28th in receptions to wide receivers, with 48% of all receivers going over their number in their last 10 vs the Buccaneers.
Chicago/Minnesota: Jordan Mason, Receptions
Mason’s reception prop is 0.5.
Here are some facts:
He gets an Edge of 1.0 receptions on the Props.Cash app.
He’s cleared this line in 78% of his games this season.
He’s averaging 1.3 receptions per game this season.
The Bears rank 18th in receptions to running backs.
Green Bay/New York Giants: Jordan Love, Passing Yards
Love’s passing yard prop is 228.5.
Here are some facts:
He gets an Edge of 249.8 passing yards on the Props.Cash app.
He’s cleared this line in 56% of his games this season.
He’s averaging 249.7 passing yards per game this season.
The Giants rank 23rd in passing yards allowed to QBs, with 60% of opposing quarterbacks clearing their line in their last 10 games.
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Houston/Tennessee: Calvin Ridley, Receiving Yards
Ridley’s receiving yard prop is 33.3 yards.
Here are some facts:
He gets an Edge of 40.8 receiving yards on the Props.Cash app.
He’s cleared this line in just 33% of his games this season.
He’s averaging 48.3 receiving yards per game this season.
The Texans rank 9th in receiving yards allowed to opposing wide receivers.
Carolina/Atlanta: NFL Edge Report on YouTube
Our trend for this game is in our NFL Edge Report on YouTube. Check it out below:
Cincinnati/Pittsburgh: NFL Edge Report on YouTube
Our trend for this game is in our NFL Edge Report on YouTube. Check it out below:
San Francisco/Arizona: Rick Pearsall, Receiving Yards
Pearsall’s receiving prop is 38.5 yards.
Here are some facts:
He gets an Edge of 53.0 receiving yards on the Props.Cash app.
He’s cleared this line in 100% of his games this season.
He’s averaging 81.8 receiving yards per game this season.
Pearsall returns from a multi-week absence, so snap count may be an issue. But that’s why his line is so low compared to what he’s done this year. Although he does enter the game without an injury designation at all, he could be all systems go.
The Cardinals rank 20th in receiving yards allowed to opposing wide receivers.
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Seattle/Los Angeles Rams: Sam Darnold, Passing Yards
Darnold’s passing prop is 251.5 yards.
Here are some facts:
He gets an Edge of 266.1 passing yards on the Props.Cash app.
He’s cleared this line in just 44% of his games this season, but he has a 75% hit rate on the road.
He’s averaging 251.3 passing yards per game this season, and a much better 290.5 passing yards on the road.
The Rams rank 19th in passing yards allowed to opposing quarterbacks.
Kansas City/Denver: Pat Bryant, Receiving Yards
Bryant’s receiving prop is 10.5 yards.
Here are some facts:
He gets an Edge of 17.2 receiving yards on the Props.Cash app.
He’s cleared this line in 50% of his games this season, but he has an 80% hit rate in his last 5.
He’s averaging 14.9 receiving yards per game this season, and a much better 26.2 receiving yards in his last 5 games.
The Chiefs give up the least amount of receiving yards allowed to opposing wide receivers in the NFL.
Baltimore/Cleveland: Lamar Jackson, Passing Yards
Lamar Jackson’s passing prop is 204.5 yards.
Here are some facts:
He gets an Edge of 213.5 passing yards on the Props.Cash app.
He’s cleared this line in 50% of his games this season.
He’s averaging 208.2 passing yards per game this season.
The Browns give up the least amount of passing yards to opposing quarterbacks in the NFL, but Drake Maye managed 282 two weeks ago, and Rodgers had 235 four weeks ago. Even Carson Wentz had 236 for Minnesota on October 5th.
Detroit/Philadelphia: NFL Edge Report on YouTube
Our trend for this game is in our NFL Edge Report on YouTube. Check it out below: