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Who Will Find the Endzone in Week 16?
Potential touchdown scorers in Week 16 games with the biggest playoff implications
Michael Mohorovich
December 22, 2024
The Big 5: Games with the Biggest Playoff Implications
There are plenty of games this weekend with playoff implications, but these six games arguably have the biggest.
Bengals vs. Browns, 1:00 PM: The Bengals got good news Thursday. The Chargers win sets them up for a potentially massive game against Denver next week if they get a win this week.
Colts vs. Titans, 1:00 PM: The Titans are out of it, but a win would do well for the Colts. They are two games back of the Broncos, and if they win out, they need just one Broncos loss to get in. They can afford to lose a game, but if they do,
their odds are almost zero.
Falcons vs Giants, 1:00 PM: The Giants are extremely eliminated from the playoffs, but the Falcons are alive. They’re benching Kirk Cousins for rookie Michael Penix Jr, and need a win against the Giants to improve to 8-7. Washington, who holds the final playoff spot, is 9-5 before playing Philly this week.
Commanders vs Eagles, 1:00 PM: A massive NFC East matchup. With a win, the Commanders can keep their division hopes alive, and the chance at a home game. An Eagles win secures the division.
Seahawks vs Minnesota, 4:05 PM: Seattle is just a game back of the Rams for the NFC West lead, so this one is big. Minnesota is already in but tied for the #1 seed with Philly and the Lions, without the tiebreaker in their favor.
Here’s one touchdown thought for each of these games, focusing, on the more desperate team in each game.
Bengals, Browns: Bengals Wide Receivers
Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins are WR1, and WR2 for the Bengals, obviously. Chase has 15 touchdowns this season, Higgins has 4 in his last 5 games, and wide receivers have devoured the Browns this season.
The Browns give up the 6th most yards, 5th most receiving touchdowns, and the 3rd most TDs
The Bengals’ top three wide receivers in terms of touchdowns are Chase (15), Higgins (6), and Andrei Iosivas (5). This is how their touchdown splits have played out their season:
Chase has 6 touchdowns in 6 games this season, with two multi-touchdown games. He has 2 touchdowns in his last 6 games vs Cleveland, one of which came this season. Ja’Marr has 8 touchdowns in his last 5 games overall, too.
Chase’s touchdowns, in his last 5 games
Higgins has 3 touchdowns in 3 home games this season, with one multi-touchdown game. Head-to-head with Cleveland, Higgins has two touchdowns in his last 5 games against the Browns, including a touchdown earlier this season. Higgins is hot, too - with 4 touchdowns in his last 5 touchdowns.
Higgins touchdowns, in his last 5 games
Iosivas had three touchdowns in his first 3 games and has just two touchdowns in his last 11 games. He has been much better at home, with three of his 5 touchdowns in Cincinnati, scoring in 50% of his home games. He had a multi-touchdown game on the books versus Cleveland, but he’s cold, with one touchdown in his last 5 games.
Iosivas’s touchdowns, in his last 5 games
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Colts, Titans: Quarterback Rushing Touchdowns
Can Anthony Richardson continue to find the end zone?
Richardson’s touchdowns, his last 5 games
Richardson has 4 touchdowns in his last 5 games, and the Titans have allowed 0.42 rushing touchdowns per game to QBs, 4th most in the NFL. Joe Burrow and Mac Jones, the last two QBs to face Tennesse, didn’t find the end zone. But 5 of the previous 9 before last week did.
Quarterbacks who have played the Titans, and whether or not they found the end zone
Falcons, Giants: Bijan Robinson, Rushing TDs vs the Giants
The Giants give up a lot on the ground and in the air to running backs, bottom ten in most rushing and receiving categories to running backs.
They give up the 2nd most rushing and receiving yards
Here is a list of every starting running back to face the Giants this year, divided by those that scored and those that didn’t.
Running Backs That Scored | Running Backs That Didn’t Score |
|---|---|
Aaron Jones (week 1), Chase Brown (week 6), Saquon Barkley (week 7), Austin Ekeler (week 9), Chuba Hubbard (week 10), Bucky Irving/Rachaad White (week 12), Rico Dowdle (week 13), Justice Hill (week 15). | Brian Robinson (week 2), Jerome Ford (week 3), Rico Dowdle (week 4), Kenneth Walker (week 5), Najee Harris (week 8), Alvin Kamara (week 14), Derrick Henry (week 15) |
They’ve held the starting running back out in back-to-back weeks, can they keep out Robinson, who has 8 touchdowns this season? Or his backup, Tyler Allgeier, who has 3 touchdowns this season.
Commanders, Eagles: AJ Brown History, Passing TD’s vs Washington
Yes, AJ Brown was held out of the end zone earlier this season against Washington, but he still has great head-to-head data vs the Commanders.
AJ Brown’s L5 vs the Commanders
Washington also allows 1.62 passing touchdowns per game, 22nd in the NFL, and 1.15 receiving touchdowns to wide receivers per game, 7th most in the NFL.
Seahawks, Vikings: Wide Receivers vs the Vikings, DK?
Will DK Metcalf find the end zone again? He hasn’t scored in 5 weeks and hasn’t scored at home in 4 straight games. And you can’t get a much better matchup than the Vikings secondary.
The Vikings allow the 2nd most receiving yards in the NFL
Minnesota allows 182.92 receiving yards per game to wide receivers, the 2nd most in the league, and 1.17 receiving touchdowns per game to wide receivers, the 6th most in the NFL. Can Metcalf end the cold streak in a matchup that plays well for him?