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Five Trends for Five WNBA Games

Teoscar Hernandez won the Home Run Derby last night, congrats to anyone with a ticket for him - he started the night as a +1800 underdog! And the All-Star Game is tonight, with the first pitch at 8 pm. The WNBA is the only thing on the docket today, so here are five trends from today’s and tomorrow’s slate. But first…

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WNBA Trends

From when this newsletter hits your mailbox at 1 PM, there will be 5 games on the WNBA schedule on Tuesday and Wednesday. Here’s one trend for each:

3:30 Tuesday: Derica Hamby Over 9.5 Rebounds

Hamby’s home and away splits are out of this world.

She’s gone over this line in 9 of 11 home games this season, and just 5 of 12 road games. This afternoon she’s at home to Seattle, a bottom third rebounding team in the WNBA.

7:00 Tuesday: Sabrina Ionescu Over 2.5 3PTM

Full disclosure, the matchup isn’t a good one for Sabrina; the Connecticut Sun are the best 3-point defensive team in the WNBA. But Ionescu has gone over this line in 54% of her home games (versus 42% of her road games) and is over in 6 of her last 10 games overall.

10:00 PM Tuesday: Kelsey Plum Over 2.5 3PTM

Just like Hamby, the home and road splits for Plum are insane.

Plum has gone over this line in 83% of her home games, and just 45% of her road games. She also had three 3’s against Chicago on June 27th.

1:00 PM Wednesday: Tina Charles Over 13.5 Points

Charles gets a perfect matchup tomorrow; Minnesota gives up the 3rd most points in the paint in the WNBA.

Can history repeat itself? Charles has gone over this line in both games against Minnesota this season.

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7:30 Wednesday: Aliyah Boston Over 14.5 Points

Boston gets a wonderful matchup against the Dallas Wings, the worst team in the WNBA. They give up the 4th most points, and the 2nd most points in the paint.

Boston has hit the over in 7 of her last 10 games, and 4 of her last 5.

Tuesday Recap

4-3 this week, 109/215 since we started tracking the newsletter on April 16th. 51%

MLB Recap

Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs ❌ Ramirez went 0-3, lovely.

Brandon Nimmo Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs ✅ Nimmo had a big game with a hit, 1 run, and 3 RBIs.

Kevin Gausman Over 5.5 K’s ❌ Tons of ground ball out, only three strikeouts.

Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs ✅ Diaz had two hits and two runs.

Euro Trends

Phil Foden Over 0.5 Shots on Goal ✅ England lost, but Foden registered a shot on goal.

Lamine Yamal Over 0.5 Shots on Goal ✅ The 17-year-old phenom had two shots on goal and won the Euro.

WNBA Trends

Breanna Stewart Over 28.5 Points+Rebounds ❌ Stewart only had 4 boards. 19 points, but only 4 boards.